Sinoma International EngineeringLtd (SHSE:600970) Shareholders Have Earned a 15% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
Sinoma International EngineeringLtd (SHSE:600970) Shareholders Have Earned a 15% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, the Sinoma International Engineering Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600970) share price is up 70% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 16% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 4.7% in the last year, including dividends.
一般来说,积极的股票挑选的目的是找到提供超过市场平均回报的公司。购买被低估的企业是获取超额回报的一种途径。举例来说,中材国际(SHSE:600970)的股价在过去5年中上涨了70%,明显超过市场回报约16%(不考虑分红)。然而,更近期的回报并不像那样令人印象深刻,该股票在过去一年仅回报4.7%,包括分红在内。
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
让我们长期看一下潜在的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报一致。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话:在短期内,市场是投票机,但在长期内,市场是称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格的时间变化,我们可以感受到投资者对公司的态度随时间而变化。
Over half a decade, Sinoma International EngineeringLtd managed to grow its earnings per share at 5.5% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 11% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.
在过去的半个世纪,中材国际工程有限公司每股收益以每年5.5%的速度增长。这种每股收益增长低于股价每年11%的平均涨幅。这表明市场参与者如今更看好该公司。考虑到过去五年的盈利增长记录,这并不令人意外。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。
We know that Sinoma International EngineeringLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.
我们知道中材国际近期改善了其利润,但它的营业收入会增长吗?您可以查看这份免费的分析师营业收入预测报告。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Sinoma International EngineeringLtd, it has a TSR of 99% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
对于任何给定的股票,考虑总股东回报以及股价回报是很重要的。股价回报仅反映了股价的变化,而TSR则包括了分红的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价的资本增发或子公司剥离的利益。可以说TSR为支付股息的股票提供了一个更完整的图片。在中材国际最近5年的情况下,其TSR为99%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种偏离!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Sinoma International EngineeringLtd shareholders gained a total return of 4.7% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 15% per year for five years. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Sinoma International EngineeringLtd you should know about.
中材国际的股东在本年度获得了总回报4.7%。不幸的是,这低于市场回报。如果我们回顾过去五年,表现甚至更好,每年为15%。考虑到市场长期持续的积极反应,这可能是一个值得留意的业务。我发现长期观察股价作为业务表现的一种替代方法非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察,我们也需要考虑其他信息。比如,考虑风险。每家公司都有风险,对于中材国际,我们发现了1个警示信息,您应该了解。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,您可能通过在其他地方寻找会找到一笔极好的投资。因此,请查看我们预计会增长收入的公司免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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