XIANGPIAOPIAO Food Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603711) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?
XIANGPIAOPIAO Food Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603711) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?
XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd (SHSE:603711) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 27% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd's ROE today.
香飘飘食品有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:603711)在股票市场上表现良好,其股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了27%。但是,我们决定关注公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并未给公司的财务状况提供明确的信号。特别是,我们今天将关注香飘飘食品有限公司的投资回报率。
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司价值增长和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。换句话说,它揭示了该公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。
How Is ROE Calculated?
投资回报率是如何计算的?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd is:
因此,根据上述公式,香飘飘食品有限公司的投资回报率为:
9.2% = CN¥294m ÷ CN¥3.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
9.2% = 29400万元人民币 ÷ 32元人民币(基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.09 in profit.
“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。另一种思考方式是,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,该公司就能获得0.09元人民币的利润。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效利润指标。根据公司选择再投资或 “保留” 的利润金额,我们随后能够评估公司未来的盈利能力。假设其他条件相同,与不具有相同特征的公司相比,既有更高股本回报率又更高利润保留率的公司通常是增长率更高的公司。
A Side By Side comparison of XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd's Earnings Growth And 9.2% ROE
香飘飘食品有限公司的收益增长和9.2%的投资回报率的并排比较
On the face of it, XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.9%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Having said that, XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd's five year net income decline rate was 6.2%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.
从表面上看,香飘飘食品有限公司的投资回报率没什么好说的。但是,其投资回报率与行业平均水平的7.9%相似,因此我们不会完全解散该公司。话虽如此,香飘飘食品有限公司的五年净收入下降率为6.2%。请记住,该公司的投资回报率确实略低。因此,收入的下降也可能是由此造成的。
That being said, we compared XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 2.5% in the same 5-year period.
话虽如此,我们将香飘飘食品有限公司的表现与行业进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在同期5年内以2.5%的速度增长了收益时,我们对此感到担忧。
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is 603711 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.
为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。603711 的估值是否合理?这张关于公司内在价值的信息图包含了你需要知道的一切。
Is XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
香飘飘食品有限公司是否有效地将利润再投资?
Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 36% (where it is retaining 64% of its profits), XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.
尽管XIANGPIAO FoodLt的三年派息率中位数为36%(保留了64%的利润),但如上所示,香飘飘食品有限公司的收益却有所下降。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。
Moreover, XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd has been paying dividends for six years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 48% over the next three years. Despite the higher expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.
此外,XIANGPIAOO FoodLtd派发股息已有六年了,这是相当长的时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到,尽管收益一直在萎缩,但股东更喜欢持续的分红。在研究了分析师的最新共识数据后,我们发现该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内升至48%。尽管预期派息率更高,但该公司的投资回报率预计不会有太大变化。
Conclusion
结论
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
总的来说,我们认为香飘飘食品有限公司的表现可以有多种解读。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。话虽如此,我们研究了分析师的最新预测,发现尽管该公司过去曾缩减收益,但分析师预计其未来收益将增长。要详细了解分析师对公司的最新预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测的可视化。
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