Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Pamica Technology (SZSE:001359)
Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Pamica Technology (SZSE:001359)
Unsurprisingly, Pamica Technology Corporation's (SZSE:001359) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. We did some analysis and think that investors are missing some details hidden beneath the profit numbers.
毫不奇怪,Pamica 科技股份有限公司(SZSE:001359)的股价在其健康财报的支撑下表现强劲。我们进行了一些分析,认为投资者忽略了获利数字背后隐藏的一些细节。
Examining Cashflow Against Pamica Technology's Earnings
审视 Pamica 科技的盈利与现金流
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一个重要财务比率是应计比率。 应计比率将FCF从给定时期的利润中减去,并将结果除以公司在该期间的平均运营资产。 您可以将非自由现金流获利比率视为从现金流中提取的应计比率。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,负应计比率对公司是有益的,而正应计比率则是不利的。这并不是说我们应该担心正应计比率,但值得注意的是应计比率相当高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,高应计比率通常是短期利润的不良迹象。
Pamica Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.22 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥205.6m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥8.5m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥75m a year ago though, so Pamica Technology has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.
截至2024年9月,Pamica 科技的应计比例为0.22。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流远低于其核定利润,这并不是一件好事。尽管报告显示利润为20560万元人民币,但查看自由现金流表明,它实际上在过去一年中亏损了850万元人民币。我们看到一年前 FCF 为7500万元人民币,所以 Pamica 科技至少过去能够产生正面的自由现金流。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
Our Take On Pamica Technology's Profit Performance
我们对 Pamica 科技的盈利表现进行了分析
Pamica Technology didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Pamica Technology's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 18% over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Pamica Technology at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Pamica Technology you should be mindful of and 1 of these bad boys is significant.
Pamica 科技在过去一年中将其利润转化为自由现金流的比例并不高,一些投资者可能认为这相当不理想。 因此,我们认为,Pamica 科技的法定利润可能优于其潜在盈利能力。 尽管如此,仍然值得注意的是,其每股收益在过去三年中增长了 18%。 最终,如果您想全面了解该公司,不仅仅要考虑以上因素,还要考虑更多方面。 因此,尽管盈利质量很重要,但目前同样重要的是考虑Pamica 科技面临的风险。 举例说明:我们发现了2个Pamica 科技的警示信号,您应该注意其中的1 个是重要的。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Pamica Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
本笔注释仅关注了揭示 Pamica 科技盈利性质的单一因素。 但如果您有能力聚焦到细枝末节上,就会发现更多内容。 一些人认为高股本回报率是一个高质量业务的好迹象。 因此,您可能希望查看这个拥有高股本回报率的公司的免费集合,或者这些持有高内部人员所有权的股票清单。
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