JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's (SZSE:300631) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential
JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's (SZSE:300631) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential
Following the release of a positive earnings report recently, JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300631) stock performed well. Investors should be cautious however, as there some causes of concern deeper in the numbers.
最近发布了一份正面盈利报告后,久吾高科(SZSE:300631)的股价表现良好。然而,投资者应谨慎,因为数字深处存在一些令人担忧的原因。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。
For anyone who wants to understand JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit gained from CN¥9.5m worth of unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
对于任何想要了解久吾高科超越法定数字的利润的人来说,重要的是要注意,过去十二个月内法定利润中从950万人民币的飞凡项目中获得。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增加,但当飞凡项目做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。当我们对成千上万家上市公司进行数据分析时,我们发现一年中来自飞凡项目的增加通常不会在下一年重复。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语所暗示的。相对于其2024年9月利润,久吾高科从飞凡项目中获得了相当显著的贡献。因此,我们可以推断,飞凡项目使其法定利润比原本强大得多。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
An Unusual Tax Situation
一种不寻常的税务情况
Just as we noted the unusual items, we must inform you that JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech received a tax benefit which contributed CN¥2.5m to the bottom line. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.
正如我们注意到飞凡项目一样,我们必须告诉您,久吾高科获得了一项税收收益,为底线贡献了250万元人民币。这当然有点不同寻常,因为公司往往是在支付税款而不是获得税收收益!获得税收收益显然是一件好事,就本身而言。然而,问题的关键在于,这类收益只在记账当年产生影响,通常是一次性的。在很可能不会重复获得税收收益的情况下,我们预计看到其法定利润水平下降,至少在缺乏强劲增长的情况下是这样。因此,尽管我们认为获得税收收益是一件好事,但它确实暗示着一个增加的风险,即法定利润夸大了企业持续盈利能力。
Our Take On JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's Profit Performance
我们对久吾高科的盈利表现发表看法
In its last report JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech received a tax benefit which might make its profit look better than it really is on a underlying level. Furthermore, it also benefitted from a positive unusual item, which boosted the profit result even higher. Considering all this we'd argue JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech at this point in time. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.
在最近的报告中,久吾高科获得了一项税收优惠,这可能使其盈利在潜在水平上看起来比实际情况更好。此外,它还受益于一项积极的飞凡项目,进一步提升了盈利结果。考虑到所有这些,我们认为久吾高科的利润可能给人一种过分慷慨的盈利可持续水平印象。因此,虽然盈利质量很重要,但同样重要的是考虑久吾高科当前面临的风险。例如,我们已经发现了久吾高科的3个警示信号(其中有1个我们并不太满意),您应该熟悉。
Our examination of JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
我们对久吾高科的研究侧重于一些因素,这些因素可能使其盈利看起来比实际情况更好。基于这一点,我们对此持怀疑态度。但还有很多其他方式来了解一家公司。有些人认为股本回报率高是一家优质企业的良好标志。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,您可能会发现这些具有高股本回报率的公司的免费收藏,或者持有大量内部持股的股票列表对您有所帮助。
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