Investing in AAR (NYSE:AIR) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 69% Gain
Investing in AAR (NYSE:AIR) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 69% Gain
By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, the AAR Corp. (NYSE:AIR) share price is up 69% in the last three years, clearly besting the market return of around 14% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 5.2% in the last year.
通过购买指数基金,投资者可以接近平均市场回报。但是,如果您选择个别股票并具有实力,您可以获得更高的回报。例如,AAR Corp.(纽交所:AIR)的股价在过去三年中上涨了69%,明显超过了约14%的市场回报(不包括股息)。然而,最近的回报并不像那样令人印象深刻,该股仅在过去一年中回报了5.2%。
So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
那么,让我们调查一下并查看公司的长期表现是否符合基本业务的进展。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
不可否认的是,市场有时是高效的,但价格并不总是反映潜在的商业表现。一个不完美但简单的方法来考虑公司市场感知如何改变是比较每股收益(EPS)变化和股价变动。
During the three years of share price growth, AAR actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 3.4% per year.
在股价增长的三年里,AAR实际上看到其每股收益(EPS)每年下降3.4%。
Based on these numbers, we think that the decline in earnings per share may not be a good representation of how the business has changed over the years. Therefore, it makes sense to look into other metrics.
根据这些数字,我们认为每股收益下降可能不是业务多年来发生变化的良好代表。因此,有必要查看其他指标。
It could be that the revenue growth of 12% per year is viewed as evidence that AAR is growing. If the company is being managed for the long term good, today's shareholders might be right to hold on.
营业收入每年增长12%可能被视为AAR正在增长的证据。如果公司正在为长期利益而管理,今天的股东可能会明智地选择持有。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
资产负债表强度至关重要。查看我们关于其财务状况如何随时间变化的免费报告可能很值得一看。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
AAR shareholders gained a total return of 5.2% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 7% a year, over half a decade) look better. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand AAR better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with AAR (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
AAR股东在本年度获得了总回报率达5.2%。不幸的是,这低于市场回报。好消息是,长期回报(每年约为7%,持续半个世纪以上)看起来更好。公司仍可能继续出色运营,即使股价涨幅在放缓。跟踪股价在较长时期内的表现总是很有趣。但要更好地理解AAR,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,要考虑投资风险的长期存在。我们已经发现了AAR的2个警示标志(至少1个令人担忧),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企业进行投资。因此,请查看我们预计将实现盈利增长的公司的免费列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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