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Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Huarong Chemical (SZSE:301256)

Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Huarong Chemical (SZSE:301256)

虽然华容化学(SZSE:301256)的法定收益弱,但这可能并不完全反映实际情况。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/28 18:25

The subdued market reaction suggests that Huarong Chemical Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301256) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

淡定的市场反应表明,华容化工股份有限公司(SZSE:301256)最近的收益没有任何惊喜。然而,我们认为投资者应该注意一些潜在的问题,这可能是令人担忧的。

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SZSE:301256 Earnings and Revenue History October 28th 2024
SZSE:301256盈利和营业历史2024年10月28日

Examining Cashflow Against Huarong Chemical's Earnings

审视华容化工的现金流与收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一项关键财务比率是应计比率。简单地说,这个比率将FCF从净利润中减去,然后除以该公司在该期间的平均运营资产。您可以将从现金流中得出的应计比率视为“非FCF利润比率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,实际上是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率为零以上的事情无关紧要,但我们认为当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文:“应计越高的公司未来利润率越低”。

For the year to September 2024, Huarong Chemical had an accrual ratio of 0.35. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥63m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥98.4m. We also note that Huarong Chemical's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥63m.

截至2024年9月的全年,华容化工的应计比率为0.35。因此我们可以推断,其自由现金流远未覆盖其法定利润,这表明在给予后者很大权重之前,我们可能需要三思。过去一年,其实际自由现金流为-6300万元人民币,与前述的9840万元人民币盈利形成对比。我们还注意到,华容化工去年实际上也是负的自由现金流,因此如果股东对其6.3亿元人民币流出感到不安,我们也能理解。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Huarong Chemical.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击这里查看我们对华容化工资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Huarong Chemical's Profit Performance

我们对华融化工的盈利表现有自己的看法

As we discussed above, we think Huarong Chemical's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Huarong Chemical's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Huarong Chemical (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be familiar with.

正如我们前面讨论的,我们认为华融化工的盈利并未得到自由现金流的支持,这可能会让一些投资者感到担忧。结果,我们认为华融化工的潜在盈利能力很可能低于其法定利润。可悲的是,其每股收益在过去十二个月内下降了。本文的目标是评估我们能否依赖法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多要考虑的地方。因此,如果您希望更深入地了解这只股票,就必须考虑它所面临的任何风险。例如,我们已经确定了华融化工的3个警示信号(其中有2个让我们感到不舒服),您应该熟悉。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Huarong Chemical's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

这篇文章仅仅看了影响华融化工盈利本质的一个因素。但是,如果您有能力专注于细枝末节,总会有更多发现。有些人认为高净资产回报率是优质企业的一个好迹象。虽然这可能需要您做一点研究,但您可能会发现这个免费的企业集合具有高净资产回报率,或者这份具有重要内部持股的股票清单是有用的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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