As you might know, Mango Excellent Media Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300413) last week released its latest third-quarter, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. It looks like quite a negative result overall, with both revenues and earnings falling well short of analyst predictions. Revenues of CN¥3.3b missed by 13%, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.20 fell short of forecasts by 29%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Mango Excellent Media from 19 analysts is for revenues of CN¥16.7b in 2025. If met, it would imply a meaningful 15% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to plummet 33% to CN¥1.15 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥16.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.17 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the minor downgrade to their earnings per share numbers for next year.

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at CN¥26.31, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Mango Excellent Media analyst has a price target of CN¥32.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥18.40. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Mango Excellent Media's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Mango Excellent Media's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 12% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 2.7% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 14% annually. Mango Excellent Media is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Mango Excellent Media. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥26.31, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Mango Excellent Media going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Mango Excellent Media (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.