Bright Future Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:1351) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 31% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 33%, which is great even in a bull market.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, considering around half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.7x, you may still consider Bright Future Technology Holdings as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Bright Future Technology Holdings Performed Recently?
Bright Future Technology Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Bright Future Technology Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Bright Future Technology Holdings?
Bright Future Technology Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 32%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 100% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 5.4% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that Bright Future Technology Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Final Word
The southerly movements of Bright Future Technology Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Bright Future Technology Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Bright Future Technology Holdings (at least 2 which can't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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