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Shenke Slide Bearing Corporation's (SZSE:002633) Shares Climb 30% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Shenke Slide Bearing Corporation's (SZSE:002633) Shares Climb 30% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

申科股份(SZSE:002633)的股票上涨30%,但其业务仍未赶上。
Simply Wall St ·  10/28 18:41

Shenke Slide Bearing Corporation (SZSE:002633) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.9x, you may consider Shenke Slide Bearing as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SZSE:002633 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 28th 2024

How Shenke Slide Bearing Has Been Performing

Revenue has risen firmly for Shenke Slide Bearing recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenke Slide Bearing's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Shenke Slide Bearing's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shenke Slide Bearing's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 15%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 70% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenke Slide Bearing is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has lead to Shenke Slide Bearing's P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Shenke Slide Bearing revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Shenke Slide Bearing that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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