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Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry (SZSE:000062) the Stock Grows 4.0%, Bringing One-year Gains to 187%

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry (SZSE:000062) the Stock Grows 4.0%, Bringing One-year Gains to 187%

尽管深圳华强工业(SZSE:000062)的收益呈下降趋势,但股价上涨了4.0%,使一年的收益增长达到187%
Simply Wall St ·  10/28 19:16

When you buy shares in a company, there is always a risk that the price drops to zero. But if you pick the right stock, you can make a lot more than 100%. For example, the Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000062) share price had more than doubled in just one year - up 180%. It's up an even more impressive 275% over the last quarter. And shareholders have also done well over the long term, with an increase of 101% in the last three years.

Since the stock has added CN¥1.3b to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over the last twelve months, Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry actually shrank its EPS by 46%.

Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Indeed, when EPS is declining but the share price is up, it often means the market is considering other factors.

We doubt the modest 0.8% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. We think that the revenue growth of 15% could have some investors interested. Many businesses do go through a phase where they have to forgo some profits to drive business development, and sometimes its for the best.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

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SZSE:000062 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 28th 2024

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry the TSR over the last 1 year was 187%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 187% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 21%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry (3 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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