Is Guodian Nanjing Automation (SHSE:600268) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Guodian Nanjing Automation (SHSE:600268) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Guodian Nanjing Automation Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600268) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
一些人认为,作为投资者,思考风险的最佳方式是波动性,而不是债务,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过'波动性与风险远非同义词。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务过多可能导致毁灭。 我们可以看到,国电南自自动化股份有限公司(SHSE:600268)确实在其业务中使用债务。 但这笔债务是否让股东担忧呢?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般来说,债务只有在一家公司无法轻松偿还时才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过融资还是凭借自身的经营现金流。资本主义的重要部分是‘创造性毁灭’的过程,即失败的企业会被银行家无情地清算。然而,更频繁发生的情况是一家公司必须以大幅折价的价格发行股票,永久性稀释股东,以巩固资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是一家公司合理管理其债务——并使其变为自己的优势。在考虑一家企业使用了多少债务时,首要做的就是将其现金和债务合起来看一下。
What Is Guodian Nanjing Automation's Net Debt?
国电南京自动化的净债务是多少?
As you can see below, Guodian Nanjing Automation had CN¥441.8m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥1.08b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.94b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.50b net cash.
正如下文所示,国电南京自动化在2024年9月的债务为44180万人民币,比一年前的10.8亿人民币有所下降。 然而,其资产负债表显示其持有19.4亿人民币现金,因此实际上净现金为15亿人民币。
How Strong Is Guodian Nanjing Automation's Balance Sheet?
国电南自的资产负债表有多牢固?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guodian Nanjing Automation had liabilities of CN¥5.84b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥335.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.94b and CN¥4.40b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥168.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我们可以看到最近的资产负债表显示,国电南自有一年内到期的负债为58.4亿人民币,而到期日超过一年的负债为33500万人民币。另一方面,它有19.4亿人民币的现金和44亿人民币的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它比总负债多拥有16890万人民币的流动资产。
This surplus suggests that Guodian Nanjing Automation has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Guodian Nanjing Automation boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这份盈余表明国电南自拥有保守的资产负债表,很可能能够轻松清偿债务。简言之,国电南自拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!
Another good sign is that Guodian Nanjing Automation has been able to increase its EBIT by 27% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Guodian Nanjing Automation will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
另一个好迹象是,国电南自在十二个月里成功将税息折旧摊销前利润(EBIt)增加了27%,这使得偿还债务变得更容易。毫无疑问,从资产负债表我们可以了解到最多关于债务的信息。但你不能孤立地看待债务;因为国电南自将需要盈利来偿付那些债务。所以在考虑债务时,绝对值得关注盈利趋势。点击这里查看互动快照。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Guodian Nanjing Automation has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Guodian Nanjing Automation actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
最后,虽然税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,贷款人只接受冷硬现金。尽管国电南自的资产负债表上有净现金,但值得看一看其将税息折旧摊销前利润(EBIt)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它是如何快速积累(或蚀损)那笔现金余额。在过去的三年里,国电南自实际生产的自由现金流比EBIt更多。这种强劲的现金生成力让我们如同穿着蜜蜂装的小狗一样感到温暖。
Summing Up
总之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Guodian Nanjing Automation has net cash of CN¥1.50b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 160% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥1.6b. So is Guodian Nanjing Automation's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Guodian Nanjing Automation that you should be aware of.
虽然我们理解投资者对债务感到担忧,但您应该记住,国电南自的净现金为15亿人民币,比负债更具有流动性。而且令人惊喜的是,将160%的EBIt转化为自由现金流,带来16亿人民币。那么,国电南自的债务是否构成风险呢?在我们看来似乎并非如此。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的重点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 恰恰相反。例如,我们已经发现了国电南自的一个警示信号,您应该注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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