share_log

Is Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group) (SHSE:600496) A Risky Investment?

Is Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group) (SHSE:600496) A Risky Investment?

长江&金巩钢铁建筑(集团)(SHSE:600496)是一个风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  10/28 20:21

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group) Co., Ltd (SHSE:600496) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

David Iben说得很好,“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”因此,聪明的投资者知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险程度时非常重要的因素。我们注意到长江和金工钢铁建筑(集团)股份有限公司(SHSE:600496)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务产生了多大风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或按优惠价格提高资本来轻松满足这些债务时,负债和其他负债变得有风险。归根到底,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,则股东可能一无所获。但是,更频繁(但同样昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以加强其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是,公司合理地管理其债务,并用自己的利益来处理。在考虑公司的债务水平时的第一步是考虑其现金和债务的总和。

What Is Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group)'s Net Debt?

长江和金工钢铁建筑(集团)的净债务是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group) had CN¥3.80b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥4.87b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.08b net cash.

下面的图表显示,您可以点击以获取更详细信息,显示长江和金工钢铁建筑(集团)在2024年6月有38亿人民币的债务;与前一年大致相同。然而,其资产负债表显示,公司持有48.7亿人民币的现金,因此实际上净现金为10.8亿人民币。

big
SHSE:600496 Debt to Equity History October 29th 2024
SHSE:600496债务与股本历史数据2024年10月29日

How Healthy Is Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group)'s Balance Sheet?

长江精工钢铁建设(集团)的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group) had liabilities of CN¥12.5b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.46b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.87b and CN¥11.9b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.82b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表看到,长江精工钢铁建设(集团)有一年内到期的负债为125亿人民币,而到期日超过一年的负债为24.6亿人民币。 另一方面,它有48.7亿人民币的现金和119亿人民币的应收账款到期。 因此,它拥有18.2亿人民币的流动资产超过总负债。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group)'s balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Succinctly put, Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group) boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种过剩的流动性是长江精工钢铁建设(集团)资产负债表几乎与美国黄金库一样强大的很好指标。 从这一角度看,借款人应该感觉像黑带空手道大师的爱人一样安全。 简而言之,长江精工钢铁建设(集团)拥有净现金,所以可以说它并没有沉重的债务负担!

In fact Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group)'s saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 40% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

事实上,长江精工钢铁建设(集团)的救赎之处是其低债务水平,因为其EBIT在过去十二个月下降了40%。 收入下降(如果趋势持续)最终可能会使即使是适度债务也变得相当冒险。 在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的区域。 但最重要的是未来收入,而不是任何其他因素,将决定长江精工钢铁建设(集团)未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。 因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看这份显示分析师盈利预测的免费报告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group) has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group) recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

但我们最终的考虑也很重要,因为公司无法用纸上利润偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。 虽然长江精工钢铁建设(集团)的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得看一下它将利息和税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它构建(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度。 在过去三年中,长江精工钢铁建设(集团)总体录得负的自由现金流。 债务通常更昂贵,几乎总是更具风险,尤其是在持有负的自由现金流的公司手中。 股东应期望有所改善。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group) has net cash of CN¥1.08b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group)'s debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Changjiang & Jinggong Steel Building (Group) has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

虽然我们理解投资者对债务感到担忧,但您应该记住长江镜共钢铁建筑(集团)拥有10.8亿人民币的净现金,以及比负债更多的流动资产。所以我们对长江镜共钢铁建筑(集团)的债务使用并不感到困扰。资产负债表明显是您分析债务时应关注的重点领域。但最终,每家公司可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。例如 - 长江镜共钢铁建筑(集团)有3个警告信号,我们认为您应该注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切尘埃落定时,有时更容易专注于那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费查看零净债务的成长股列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发