We Think Zhuhai Huajin Capital (SZSE:000532) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
We Think Zhuhai Huajin Capital (SZSE:000532) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Zhuhai Huajin Capital Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000532) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
传奇基金经理李录(得到了查理·芒格的支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是您是否会遭受永久性资本损失。”因此,聪明的资金都知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险时一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,珠海华金资本股份有限公司(SZSE:000532)确实存在债务。但这笔债务是否会令股东担忧?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务为企业提供援助,直到企业无法通过新的资本或自由现金流来偿还债务为止。如果状况变得极为糟糕,债权人可以接管企业。虽然这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到由于贷款人强迫受困的企业以危机价格筹集资本,从而永久地稀释股东。当然,债务可以是企业的重要工具,特别是对于资本密集型企业而言。当我们思考一家企业的债务使用情况时,我们首先会查看现金和债务。
How Much Debt Does Zhuhai Huajin Capital Carry?
珠海华金资本承担了多少债务?
As you can see below, Zhuhai Huajin Capital had CN¥422.7m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥698.6m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥183.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥239.5m.
如您所见,珠海华金资本在2024年9月的债务为42270万元人民币,比前一年的69860万元人民币减少。然而,它确实有18320万元人民币的现金用以抵消,导致净债务约为23950万元人民币。
A Look At Zhuhai Huajin Capital's Liabilities
查看华金资本的负债情况
According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhuhai Huajin Capital had liabilities of CN¥580.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥214.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥183.2m in cash and CN¥112.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥500.1m.
根据上次披露的资产负债表,华金资本有58080万人民币的负债需要在12个月内偿还,以及21450万人民币的负债需要在12个月后偿还。 与此相抵,它有18320万人民币的现金和11200万人民币的应收账款需要在12个月内偿还。 因此,其负债超过现金和(近期)应收账款的总和为50010万人民币。
Given Zhuhai Huajin Capital has a market capitalization of CN¥5.16b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
考虑到华金资本市值达到了51.6亿人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成很大威胁。 话虽如此,显而易见我们应继续监控其资产负债表,以防状况变糟。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我们使用两个主要比率来了解债务相对于收入的水平。首先是净债务除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),而第二个是其税前利润(EBIT)可以覆盖利息支出的倍数(或简称为利息覆盖率)。 这种方法的优势在于我们既考虑了债务的绝对量(净债务与EBITDA)又考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(利息覆盖比)。
Zhuhai Huajin Capital has net debt worth 2.3 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 4.0 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Importantly, Zhuhai Huajin Capital's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 30% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Zhuhai Huajin Capital's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
华金资本的净债务价值相当于EBITDA的2.3倍,这并不算太多,但其利息保障有些低,EBIt仅为利息支出的4.0倍。 尽管这并不太让我们担忧,但它确实表明利息付款有一定负担。 重要的是,华金资本的EBIt在过去十二个月惊人地下降了30%。 如果这种下降持续下去,偿还债务将比在纯素食者大会上出售鹅肝更难。 毫无疑问,我们最能从资产负债表中了解债务情况。 但正是华金资本的收益将影响资产负债表在未来的表现。 因此,在考虑债务时,着眼于收益趋势绝对是值得的。 单击此处查看交互式快照。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Zhuhai Huajin Capital produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 62% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最后,虽然税务部门可能欢迎会计利润,但贷款人只接受冰冷的现金。 因此,我们明显需要查看EBIt是否导致相应的自由现金流。 在过去三年中,华金资本产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其EBIt的62%,与我们的预期相符。 这种自由现金流使公司有能力在适当时偿还债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Zhuhai Huajin Capital's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is relatively strong. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Zhuhai Huajin Capital is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Zhuhai Huajin Capital that you should be aware of before investing here.
珠海华金资本的EBIt增长率在这次分析中确实是一个负面因素,尽管我们考虑的其他因素让它呈现出了明显更好的一面。例如,它将EBIt转化为自由现金流的能力相对较强。综合考虑以上所有方面,我们认为珠海华金资本这是一个因债务而变成了相对风险投资。并非所有风险都是坏事,如果风险得以化解,它甚至有可能提高股价回报,但这种债务风险值得我们谨记。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要重点关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表以外的风险。例如,我们发现珠海华金资本有1个警示信号需要您在这里投资前注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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