The Three-year Loss for Changzhou Almaden (SZSE:002623) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings
The Three-year Loss for Changzhou Almaden (SZSE:002623) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings
While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Changzhou Almaden Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002623) share price up 19% in a single quarter. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. In fact, the share price is down 48% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.
尽管对于一些股东来说可能还不够,但我们认为亚玛顿(SZSE:002623)股价在一个季度内上涨了19%是件好事。 但这并不能掩盖三年的回报率较低这一事实。实际上,在过去的三年中,股价下跌了48%,远远低于市场回报。
While the stock has risen 13% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
虽然股票上周上涨了13%,但长期股东仍然处于亏损状态,让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
市场有时毫无疑问是有效的,但股票价格并不总是反映基本业务表现。一种有缺陷但合理的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格,以评估围绕公司的情绪如何变化。
Changzhou Almaden saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 27% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 20% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 61.97.
在过去的三年中,亚玛顿的每股收益以27%的年复合率下降。 相比之下,年复合股价下降了20%,并不像每股收益的下降那么糟糕。所以市场可能并不太担心每股收益数字,或者可能在先前已经定价了一部分下跌。这种积极情绪也体现在慷慨的市盈率61.97中。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了EPS随时间的变化情况(如果您单击该图像,则可以查看更多详细信息)。
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Changzhou Almaden's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
请参考我们关于亚玛顿的收益、营业收入和现金流的免费报告,可能非常值得一看。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
While the broader market gained around 7.4% in the last year, Changzhou Almaden shareholders lost 30% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 8% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Changzhou Almaden (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
虽然过去一年更广泛的市场上涨约7.4%,但亚玛顿的股东却亏损了30%(即便包括分红派息在内)。即使好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在对业务的基本指标看到改善后再产生浓厚兴趣。从正面看,长期股东们赚了钱,在过去五年半中每年赚取8%的回报。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此值得检查基本数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。虽然考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响是很值得的,但还有更重要的因素。比如,投资风险这个永远存在的幽灵。我们已确定了亚玛顿的3个警示信号(至少1个不应被忽视),了解它们应成为您的投资流程的一部分。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果您像我一样,就不会希望错过这份免费的内部人士正在购买的低估小市值股票列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。