Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd (SHSE:600736) the Stock Rises 9.1%, Bringing Three-year Gains to 27%
Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd (SHSE:600736) the Stock Rises 9.1%, Bringing Three-year Gains to 27%
One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. Just take a look at Suzhou New District Hi-Tech Industrial Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600736), which is up 23%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 17% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 9.8% in the last year, including dividends.
要从股市中获益的一个简单方法是购买指数基金。 但是,如果您选择正确的个别股票,可能会获得更多收益。 只需看看苏州高新(600736.SH)公司,其股价在三年内上涨了23%,远远超过了市场17%的下跌(不包括股息)。 但是,最近的回报并不像那样令人印象深刻,该股票在过去一年仅回报9.8%,包括股息。
Since the stock has added CN¥507m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
由于该股票仅在过去一周就使其市值增加50700万人民币,让我们看看潜在表现是否推动了长期回报。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
沃伦·巴菲特在他的论文《格雷厄姆-道德斯维尔的超级投资者》中描述了股票价格并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间变化的变化,我们可以了解到投资者对某家公司的态度如何随时间而变化。
During the three years of share price growth, Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 35% per year.
在三年股价上涨期间,苏州高新实际上看到每年每股收益(EPS)下降35%。
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Given this situation, it makes sense to look at other metrics too.
因此,我们怀疑市场对公司价值的主要评价标准不是EPS。鉴于这种情况,看一下其他指标也是有意义的。
Languishing at just 0.5%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 13% per year). What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation
股息仅为0.5%,我们怀疑股息并不能有效支撑股价。你可以想象长期股东对营业收入下滑趋势(年均下降13%)的感受。很明显,历史收益和营业收入与股价走势并不完全匹配。因此,您可能需要深入了解形势。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):
If you are thinking of buying or selling Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
如果您考虑购买或出售苏州高新股票,您应该查看这份免费的详细报告,了解其资产负债表。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd's TSR for the last 3 years was 27%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
投资者除了衡量股价回报外,还应考虑总股东回报率(TSR)。TSR包括任何拆分或折让的资本募集价值,以及根据股息再投资的假设。可以说,TSR为股票带来的回报提供了更全面的画面。恰好,苏州高新过去3年的TSR为27%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。公司支付的股息因此提升了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
We're pleased to report that Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 9.8% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 0.9% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
我们很高兴地报告,苏州高新股东在一年内获得了总股东回报率为9.8%。当然,这包括了分红。值得注意的是,过去五年的年化股东回报率亏损0.9%,与最近的股价表现相比非常不利。长期亏损使我们谨慎,但短期股东回报率的增长当然暗示着更光明的未来。跟踪股价表现长期以来总是很有趣。但要更好地了解苏州高新,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们发现了苏州高新4个警示信号(其中2个令人担忧!)在投资之前,您应该了解这些。
We will like Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到一些大规模内部买入,我们会更喜欢苏州高新。在等待的同时,查看这份免费的被低估股票清单(主要是小市值股票),其中包括相当多近期内部买入的股票。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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