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We Think That There Are More Issues For Guoguang Electric (SZSE:002045) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

We Think That There Are More Issues For Guoguang Electric (SZSE:002045) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

我们认为,国光电器(SZSE:002045)面临的问题不仅仅是盈利不振。
Simply Wall St ·  10/29 18:16

A lackluster earnings announcement from Guoguang Electric Company Limited (SZSE:002045) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

上周国光电器股份有限公司(SZSE:002045)发布了一则平淡的收益公告,并没有使股价下跌。 但我们认为投资者应该注意一些潜在问题。

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SZSE:002045 Earnings and Revenue History October 29th 2024
SZSE:002045利润和营收历史数据2024年10月29日

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, Guoguang Electric issued 22% more new shares over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Guoguang Electric's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

为了了解公司收益增长的价值,有必要考虑股东利益的任何稀释。 事实上,国光电器在过去一年发行了多达22%的新增股份。 因此,现在每股股票获得的利润份额更少。 盲目庆祝净利润,而忽视了稀释,就像高兴因为你有一块更大的比萨饼的一小块,但却忽略了比萨饼现在被切成更多薄片的事实。 通过点击此链接查看国光电器的历史每股收益增长。

How Is Dilution Impacting Guoguang Electric's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

稀释如何影响国光电器的每股收益(EPS)?

As you can see above, Guoguang Electric has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 85% over three years. But EPS was only up 59% per year, in the exact same period. Net income was down 8.7% over the last twelve months. But the EPS result was even worse, with the company recording a decline of 24%. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

如上所示,国光电器在过去几年中增加了其净利润,年化增长率为85%。 但每股收益在相同时期仅增长了59%。 净利润在过去十二个月中下降了8.7%。 但EPS的结果甚至更糟,公司记录了下降24%。 因此,稀释对股东回报产生显着影响。

In the long term, if Guoguang Electric's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

从长期来看,如果国光电器的每股收益能够增加,那么股价也会上涨。 但另一方面,我们会对得知利润(但不是EPS)在增加感到更少兴奋。 出于这个原因,你可以说EPS在长期内比净利润更重要,假设目标是评估公司股价是否会增长。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that Guoguang Electric's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥43m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

除了稀释问题外,值得注意的是,在过去十二个月里,国光电器的利润受到价值4300万人民币的飞凡项目的推动。虽然盈利增加总是件好事,但飞凡项目所带来的较大贡献有时会减弱我们的热情。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了数据分析,发现飞凡项目往往是一次性的。这一点并不奇怪,顾名思义。假设这些飞凡项目在当年不再出现,我们因此预计下一年的利润会较弱(在无业务增长的情况下)。

Our Take On Guoguang Electric's Profit Performance

我们对国光电器的利润表现的看法

In its last report Guoguang Electric benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Guoguang Electric's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for Guoguang Electric and we think they deserve your attention.

在最新的报告中,国光电器受益于推动其利润的飞凡项目,这可能会让利润在可持续基础上看起来比实际情况好。此外,稀释意味着它的每股收益表现比利润表现更糟。基于上述原因,我们认为仅仅粗略看一眼国光电器的法定利润可能使其看起来比实际情况好。因此,如果您想深入了解这支股票,考虑其所面临的任何风险至关重要。在Simply Wall St,我们发现有1个警告信号针对国光电器,我们认为这值得您关注。

Our examination of Guoguang Electric has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我们对国光电器的审查主要集中在一些因素上,这些因素可能使其盈利看起来比实际情况要好。因此,基于这一点,我们对此持怀疑态度。但是,如果您能专注于细枝末节,总能发现更多。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟随资金”并寻找内部人员正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这些公司的免费股本回报率集合,或者这些持有显著内部持股的股票清单对您有所帮助。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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