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Neusoft Corporation's (SHSE:600718) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

Neusoft Corporation's (SHSE:600718) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

东软集团(SHSE:600718)目前呈上涨趋势,但财务前景看起来相当疲弱:股票是否定价过高?
Simply Wall St ·  10/29 17:43

Neusoft's (SHSE:600718) stock is up by a considerable 35% over the past three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Neusoft's ROE in this article.

东软(SHSE:600718)的股票在过去三个月里上涨了相当大的35%。然而,在这篇文章中,我们决定专注于它的弱势基本面,因为企业的长期财务表现最终决定了市场结果。具体来说,我们决定在这篇文章中研究东软的 roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股东权益回报率(ROE)是测试公司如何有效地增加其价值并管理投资者资金的指标。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于股本资本的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

净资产收益率可以使用以下公式进行计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Neusoft is:

因此,根据上述公式,东软的 roe 为:

0.9% = CN¥83m ÷ CN¥9.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

0.9% = 人民币8300万 ÷ 人民币96亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.01 in profit.

“收益”是年度利润。另一种思考方式是,对于每元人民币的股权,公司能够获得0.01元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定ROE作为一个高效的盈利规模可以评估公司未来的收益。根据公司选择再投资或保留多少利润,我们可以评估公司未来盈利的能力。假设其他所有条件均保持不变,ROE和利润留存率越高,相对于没有这些特点的公司,公司的增长率就越高。

Neusoft's Earnings Growth And 0.9% ROE

东软净利润增长和0.9%的roe

It is quite clear that Neusoft's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 4.4%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Neusoft's five year net income decline of 6.6% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

很明显,东软的roe相当低。甚至与行业平均值4.4%相比,roe数字令人失望。由于较低的roe,因此东软五年净利润下降6.6%并不奇怪。我们认为,可能还有其他一些方面会对公司的盈利前景产生负面影响。例如-低盈利保留或资本配置不善。

However, when we compared Neusoft's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 1.0% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将东软的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现虽然该公司的净利润在缩减,但同期行业的净利润增长了1.0%。这是非常令人担忧的。

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SHSE:600718 Past Earnings Growth October 29th 2024
SHSE:600718过去的净利润增长情况为2024年10月29日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Neusoft fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增长是股票估值中的一个重要因素。投资者知道市场是否已经对公司预期的盈利增长(或下滑)进行了定价至关重要。这样做将帮助他们判断股票未来是光明还是暗淡。 与其他公司相比,东软是否定价合理?这3个估值指标可能帮助您做出决定。

Is Neusoft Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

东软是否高效地重新投资其利润?

Neusoft's very high three-year median payout ratio of 107% over the last three years suggests that the company is paying its shareholders more than what it is earning and this explains the company's shrinking earnings. Its usually very hard to sustain dividend payments that are higher than reported profits. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Neusoft visit our risks dashboard for free.

东软过去三年的中位分红比率非常高,达到了107%,这意味着公司向股东支付的比公司赚的更多,这解释了公司盈利的萎缩。通常很难维持高于报告利润的股息支付。要了解我们为东软确定的两个风险,请免费访问我们的风险仪表板。

Moreover, Neusoft has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,东软至少连续十年支付股息,表明管理层可能认为股东更喜欢股息而不是盈利增长。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Neusoft. Particularly, its ROE is a huge disappointment, not to mention its lack of proper reinvestment into the business. As a result its earnings growth has also been quite disappointing. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体而言,在对东软公司做出任何决定之前,我们应该非常谨慎。特别是它的roe是一个巨大的失望,更不用说它在业务上缺乏适当的再投资了。结果它的盈利增长也相当令人失望。话虽如此,从当前分析师的预测来看,我们发现该公司的盈利增长率有望出现巨大改善。想要了解更多关于该公司最新分析师预测的信息,请查看这份专门为该公司制作的分析师预测可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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