Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300751) just released its latest third-quarter report and things are not looking great. It looks like quite a negative result overall, with both revenues and earnings falling well short of analyst predictions. Revenues of CN¥2.9b missed by 13%, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥1.07 fell short of forecasts by 37%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
迈为股份(SZSE:300751)刚刚发布了最新的第三季度报告,情况并不乐观。整体看来,营业收入和收益均大幅低于分析师的预测。其29亿元的营业收入低于预期13%,每股1.07元人民币的盈利也比预期低了37%。收益对于投资者来说是重要的时间点,因为他们可以追踪公司的表现,查看分析师对下一年的预测,并查看对该公司的情绪是否发生变化。考虑到这一点,我们汇总了最新的法定预测,以了解分析师对明年的预期。
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Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Suzhou Maxwell Technologies from 14 analysts is for revenues of CN¥14.8b in 2025. If met, it would imply a substantial 38% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 75% to CN¥6.03. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥15.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥6.12 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
考虑到最新的结果,来自14名分析师的迈为股份2025年营收共识为148亿元人民币。如若达成,将意味着过去12个月营收大幅增长38%。预计法定每股收益将上涨75%至6.03元人民币。在此报告之前,分析师一直在模拟2025年的营收为151亿元人民币,每股收益为6.12元人民币。共识分析师似乎没有在这些结果中看到会改变他们对企业的看法的任何事情,考虑到他们的估计没有发生重大变化。
It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥101. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Suzhou Maxwell Technologies analyst has a price target of CN¥155 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥53.00. With such a wide range in price targets, analysts are almost certainly betting on widely divergent outcomes in the underlying business. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.
因此,毫无疑问,了解到共识价目标基本保持在101元人民币不会让人感到意外。共识价目标只是各个分析师目标的平均值,因此查看基础估计范围有多广泛可能会有所帮助。最乐观的迈为股份分析师对每股的价格目标为155元人民币,而最悲观者将其定为53.00元人民币。由于价格目标范围很广,分析师几乎可以肯定是在对基础业务的潜在结果进行广泛的押注。考虑到这一点,我们不应过于依赖共识价目标,因为它只是一个平均值,分析师对企业显然有一些非常不同的看法。
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Suzhou Maxwell Technologies' revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 29% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 40% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 23% annually. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Suzhou Maxwell Technologies is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.
现在来看看更宏观的图景,我们可以通过将这些预测与过去的业绩和行业增长预期进行比较来了解它们。我们要强调的是,预计苏州迈为股份的营业收入增长将放缓,预计到2025年底,年化增长率达29%,明显低于过去五年中40%的年增长率。相对而言,该行业板块中受到分析师覆盖的其他公司预计每年将以23%的速度增长营业收入。即使在预计增长放缓之后,苏州迈为股份预计仍将比更广泛的行业增长更快。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
最重要的是,分析师重申业绩表现符合他们此前的每股收益预测,这一点并没有发生重大变化。令人欣慰的是,收入预测没有发生重大变化,预计企业仍将比整个行业增长得更快。共识价格目标没有发生实质性变化,表明最新估值没有发生重大变化。
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Suzhou Maxwell Technologies going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
继续这种思路,我们认为业务的长期前景比明年的收益更为重要。我们对苏州迈为股份的预测延伸至2026年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
You still need to take note of risks, for example - Suzhou Maxwell Technologies has 4 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
您仍需要注意风险,例如-苏州迈为股份有4个警示信号(和2个让我们感到不舒服的信号),我们认为您应该知道。
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