Frontken's earnings delivery rebounded strongly in 3Q24 with marked sequential improvements across key markets. Despite lowering FY24E earnings by 8% (FY25E/26E maintained), Maybank IB said it raises its TP to MYR4.95 (+18%).
Results miss, but plenty of silver linings
Ex-one offs (-MYR0.7m), FRCB's registered 3Q24 core net profit (CNP) of MYR36.0m (+37% YoY, +11% QoQ). Cumulatively, 9M24 CNP of MYR95.1m (+21% YoY) fell short of estimates, coming in at just 63% of ours and consensus' FY24E. Buoyed by a stronger-than-expected sequential pickup in MY and SG turnover, FRCB's 3Q24 group turnover of MYR144.3m (+8%
YoY, +7% QoQ) was its highest quarterly turnover on record. Segmental revenue also exceeded MYR100m in TW for the first time on record.
MY woes resolved; gearing-up for a stronger FY25
Positively, SG and MY EBIT margins rebounded with sequential improvements of +3ppts/+5ppts after a weak 2Q24 (Kulim plant fire, O&G invoice timing issues). SG run-rates continue to track higher in QtD-4Q24, underpinned by improving order visibility from semicon customers. In MY, FRCB's Kulim plant is back to full operational capacity, while its O&G invoicing uncertainties seem resolved as the house gathers its customers are in the process of renewing their contracts.
Notwithstanding an expected strong finish to the year in 4Q24E, Maybank IB cuts the FY24E earnings by 8%, but maintain FY25E/26E earnings. With the worst likely behind FRCB, the house opines that resilient FE semicon growth momentum in SG will continue to drive FRCB's group earnings higher in FY25E
Frontken的收益交付在24年第三季度强劲反弹,主要市场连续明显改善。尽管将 FY24E 的收益降低了8%(维持在25E/26E财年),但马来亚银行表示已将其目标股价提高至4.95马币(+18%)。
业绩不佳,但还有很多一线希望
除一次性外(-70万马币),FRCB的24年第三季度核心净利润(CNP)为3600万马币(同比增长37%,环比增长11%)。累计而言,9M24 CNP为9510万马币(同比增长21%)低于预期,仅为我们和共识的 FY24E 的63%。受马来西亚和新加坡营业额连续回升强于预期的推动,FRCB24第三季度集团营业额为14430万马币(+8%)
同比,环比增长7%)是有记录以来最高的季度营业额。分部收入也有记录以来首次超过台币10000万令吉。
我的困境解决了;为更强劲的25财年做准备
在经历了 24 年第二季度的疲软(库林工厂火灾、O&G 发票时间问题)之后,SG 和 MY 息税前利润率出现了积极反弹,分别连续提高了+3 个百分点/+5 个百分点。在半导体客户订单能见度提高的支撑下,24 财年第四季度的 SG 运转率继续走高。在马来西亚,FRCB 的居林工厂已恢复满负荷生产,而其 O&G 发票的不确定性似乎也已解决,因为该公司收集到其客户正在续签合同。
尽管预期 FRCB 将在 24E 第四季度强劲收尾,但 Maybank IB 仍将 24E 财年的盈利下调 8%,但维持 25E/26E 财年的盈利。该行认为,由于最坏的情况可能已经过去,新加坡政府的 FE 半导体增长势头将继续推动 FRCB 在 25E 财年的集团盈利增长。