We Think Reynolds Consumer Products (NASDAQ:REYN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Reynolds Consumer Products (NASDAQ:REYN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (NASDAQ:REYN) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍华德·马克斯(Howard Marks)表达得很好,他说,与其担心股价波动,'我担心的是永久性损失的可能性...我认识的每一个实际投资者都担心这个。'因此,聪明的投资者似乎知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估一家公司风险的一个非常重要因素。值得注意的是,雷诺斯消费品公司(纳斯达克:REYN)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务产生了多大风险?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
债务能够在企业缺乏新资本或自由现金流的情况下提供帮助。在最坏的情况下,公司无法支付其债权人的情况下可能会破产。但是,更常见的情况是,公司需要以较低的价格筹集新的股本资本,从而永久地稀释股东的权益。然而,在替代稀释的情况下,债务可以是一种极好的工具,可为需要在高回报率下进行成长投资的企业提供资本。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Reynolds Consumer Products's Debt?
雷诺斯消费品的债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Reynolds Consumer Products had US$1.78b of debt in June 2024, down from US$2.08b, one year before. On the flip side, it has US$127.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.66b.
您可以单击下面的图表查看历史数据,但显示雷诺斯消费品在2024年6月的债务为17.8亿美元,低于一年前的20.8亿美元。另一方面,它拥有12700万美元的现金,导致净债务约为16.6亿美元。
How Strong Is Reynolds Consumer Products' Balance Sheet?
雷诺兹消费品业务的资产负债表有多坚实?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Reynolds Consumer Products had liabilities of US$523.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.30b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$127.0m and US$383.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.32b.
深入研究最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到雷诺兹消费品业务在12个月内到期的负债为52300万美元,而12个月后到期的负债为23亿美元。另一方面,其现金为12700万美元,应收账款为38300万美元。因此,其负债超过了其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和23.2亿美元。
This deficit isn't so bad because Reynolds Consumer Products is worth US$6.26b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
这个赤字并不算太糟糕,因为雷诺兹消费品业务价值为62.6亿美元,因此可能可以筹集足够的资金来巩固其资产负债表,如果有需要的话。但很明显,我们绝对需要仔细调查它是否能够管理其债务而不进行股份稀释。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
通过查看公司的净债务与利息、税、折旧、摊销前利润(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息费用(利息覆盖率)可以衡量一个公司的债务负担与收益能力。因此,我们考虑将债务与有无计算折旧和摊销费用的收益相对比。
Reynolds Consumer Products has net debt worth 2.4 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 5.3 times the interest expense. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Importantly, Reynolds Consumer Products grew its EBIT by 37% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Reynolds Consumer Products's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
雷诺兹消费品业务的净债务价值为EBITDA的2.4倍,这并不算太多,但其利息盈利覆盖看起来有点偏低,EBIt只有利息费用的5.3倍。虽然这些数字并没有引起我们的警惕,但值得注意的是公司负债成本确实产生了实质影响。重要的是,雷诺兹消费品业务在过去12个月内将其EBIt增长了37%,而这种增长将使其更容易应对债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上了解最多关于债务。但更重要的是,未来的盈利将决定雷诺兹消费品业务能否保持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看该免费报告,显示分析师的盈利预测。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Reynolds Consumer Products recorded free cash flow worth 70% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但我们的最后考虑也很重要,因为公司无法用虚拟利润来偿还债务;它需要现金。因此,我们总是检查EBIt中有多少转化为自由现金流。在最近的三年中,雷诺兹消费品业务录得的自由现金流价值为其EBIt的70%,这是正常的,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税费。这笔硬通货意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Reynolds Consumer Products's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Reynolds Consumer Products is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Reynolds Consumer Products you should be aware of.
Reynolds Consumer Products的EBIt增长率表明它可以像Cristiano Ronaldo对付一名14岁以下门将一样轻松处理债务。 这只是好消息的开始,因为其将EBIt转化为自由现金流的能力也非常令人振奋。 当我们考虑以上一系列因素时,Reynolds Consumer Products在债务使用上似乎非常明智。 尽管会带来一些风险,但也可以增强股东的回报。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解最多关于债务。 但,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表之内 - 远非如此。 例如:我们发现Reynolds Consumer Products存在3个警示信号,您应该注意。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。
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