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Foryou Corporation (SZSE:002906) Just Beat EPS By 9.7%: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

Foryou Corporation (SZSE:002906) Just Beat EPS By 9.7%: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

华阳集团(SZSE:002906)每股收益超出9.7%:分析师对明年的预测是什么
Simply Wall St ·  10/30 18:25

Foryou Corporation (SZSE:002906) defied analyst predictions to release its quarterly results, which were ahead of market expectations. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 9.1% to hit CN¥2.6b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at CN¥0.34, some 9.7% above whatthe analysts had expected. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

华阳集团(SZSE:002906)违背分析师的预测发布了季度业绩,超出了市场预期。总体来看,业绩表现良好,营业收入超出分析师的预测9.1%,达到人民币26亿。每股收益为人民币0.34,比分析师预期高出9.7%。根据这一结果,分析师已更新了他们的盈利模型,了解他们是否认为公司前景发生了巨大变化,还是一切如常将是一件好事。我们已经收集了最新的法定预测,看看分析师在这些结果后是否改变了他们的盈利模型。

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SZSE:002906 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 30th 2024
SZSE:002906 2024年10月30日的收益和营业收入增长

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Foryou's twelve analysts is for revenues of CN¥11.7b in 2025. This reflects a major 27% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 35% to CN¥1.63. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥11.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.56 in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment following the latest results, withthe analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for both revenues and earnings.

考虑到最新的结果,华阳集团的十二名分析师从2025年预计营业收入将达到人民币117亿。这反映了与过去12个月相比,营业收入将大幅提高27%。预计每股收益将增长35%,达到人民币1.63。然而,在最新盈利数据之前,分析师们预期2025年的营业收入为人民币112亿,每股收益(EPS)为人民币1.56。看起来在最新结果发布后,情绪有所增加,分析师们对营收和盈利的预测更为乐观。

With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 8.5% to CN¥41.31per share. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Foryou, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥51.00 and the most bearish at CN¥25.50 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

随着这些升级,我们并不奇怪看到分析师将他们的每股价值目标提高了8.5%,达到人民币41.31每股。然而,查看分析师提出的价格目标范围,也是一种思考价格目标的另一种方式,因为广泛的估计范围可能意味着对业务可能结果存在不同看法。对于华阳集团,存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析师将其估值为人民币51.00,而最看淡的则为人民币25.50每股。这是一个相当广泛的估值范围,表明分析师正在预测业务的多种可能结果。

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 21% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 22% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 18% per year. It's clear that while Foryou's revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.

另一种我们可以查看这些估计的方式是在更大的背景下,比如预测与过去表现的对比,以及相对于行业其他公司是否更看好。截至2025年底的周期将更多地呈现相同的情况,据分析师称,预计营业收入将以每年21%的速度增长。这与过去五年22%的年增长率相符。将这一点与我们的数据相对比,显示出行业内其他受到分析师关注的公司预计收入每年将增长18%。很明显,尽管Foryou的营收增长有望继续与当前轨迹保持一致,但预计仅在与整个行业保持一致的情况下增长。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Foryou's earnings potential next year. They also upgraded their revenue forecasts, although the latest estimates suggest that Foryou will grow in line with the overall industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

对我们来说最大的收获是一致的每股收益升级,这表明了对Foryou明年每股收益潜力的乐观情绪明显改善。他们还对营收预测进行了升级,尽管最新预测表明预计Foryou将与整个行业一样增长。我们注意到价格目标的提升,表明分析师认为企业的内在价值可能会随着时间的推移而提高。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Foryou analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

继续这种思路,我们认为业务的长期前景比明年的收益更加重要。我们有预测-来自多位Foryou分析师-一直到2026年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看这些数据。

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Foryou you should know about.

那么风险呢?每家公司都会面临风险,我们发现了Foryou的一个警示信号,您应该了解。

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