Global Infotech (SZSE:300465) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn't Stop There
Global Infotech (SZSE:300465) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn't Stop There
Global Infotech Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300465) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the last week. We did some digging, and we think that investors are missing some encouraging factors in the underlying numbers.
高伟达公司(SZSE:300465)最近的收益报告没有带来任何惊喜,股价在过去一周保持不变。我们进行了一些调查,认为投资者忽略了一些潜在的鼓舞人心因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Global Infotech's Earnings
分析现金流与高伟达的盈利情况
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一个重要财务比率是应计比率。 应计比率将FCF从给定时期的利润中减去,并将结果除以公司在该期间的平均运营资产。 您可以将非自由现金流获利比率视为从现金流中提取的应计比率。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
这意味着负责任的比率为好事,因为它表明公司所带来的自由现金流比利润所表明的要多。这并不是要暗示我们应该担心正的负责任率,但值得注意的是,在负责任比率相当高的地方有一些学术证据表明,负责任比率高是近期利润的一个不好的征兆。
Global Infotech has an accrual ratio of -0.12 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥130m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥31.5m. Given that Global Infotech had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥130m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
高伟达2024年9月份的获利比例为-0.12。因此,其法定收益相当大地少于其自由现金流。事实上,在过去一年中,其自由现金流达到了13000万人民币,远远超过了其3150万人民币的法定利润。考虑到高伟达在上一对应期间有负的自由现金流,最近十二个月的1.3亿人民币利润似乎是朝着正确方向迈出的一步。然而,要考虑的远不止这些。我们可以看到不寻常项目影响了其法定利润,因而影响了获利比例。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Global Infotech.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。单击此处查看我们对高伟达资产负债表分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常规项目如何影响利润?
While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Global Infotech's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥4.2m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
尽管应计比率可能是个好兆头,但我们也注意到,高达420万人民币的飞凡项目推动了高伟达在过去12个月的利润。我们无法否认,更高的利润通常让我们感到乐观,但如果利润能持续下去的话,那会更好。当我们分析全球大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大的飞凡项目通常不会重复出现。考虑到名字,这并不奇怪。假设这些飞凡项目在当前年度不再出现,我们因此预计下一年利润会较弱(在没有业务增长的情况下)。
Our Take On Global Infotech's Profit Performance
我们对高伟达的利润表现的看法
In conclusion, Global Infotech's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Global Infotech's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Global Infotech.
总的来说,高伟达的应计比率表明其法定收益质量良好,但另一方面,利润受到飞凡项目的推动。考虑到这些相互矛盾的因素,我们对于高伟达的利润是否恰当地反映了其潜在盈利能力并没有强烈看法。考虑到这一点,除非我们全面了解风险,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。例如,我们发现了1项警示信号,您应该留意以更全面地了解高伟达。
Our examination of Global Infotech has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
我们对高伟达的检查重点放在一些因素上,这些因素可能让其收益看起来更好。但有许多其他方法可以帮助您评估一家公司。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率暗示着有利可图的商业经济,而其他人则喜欢“跟随资金”并寻找内部人在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要您做一些调查研究,但您可能会发现身为几家公司自由现金流占优势的公司的收集,或股东持股显著的股票清单对您非常有用。
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