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Sunresin New MaterialsLtd (SZSE:300487) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

Sunresin New MaterialsLtd (SZSE:300487) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

山东沃特新材料股份有限公司 (SZSE:300487) 潜在问题可能被强劲利润掩盖
Simply Wall St ·  10/30 19:47

The market shrugged off Sunresin New Materials Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300487) solid earnings report. We think that investors might be worried about some concerning underlying factors.

市场对蓝晓科技(SZSE:300487)的稳健财报不以为然。我们认为投资者可能担心一些令人担忧的潜在因素。

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SZSE:300487 Earnings and Revenue History October 30th 2024
SZSE:300487的盈利和营业收入历史数据 - 2024年10月30日

Examining Cashflow Against Sunresin New MaterialsLtd's Earnings

分析现金流与蓝晓科技业绩的关系

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如财务迷们已经知道的那样,从现金流量的应计比率是一个判断公司自由现金流(FCF)与盈利匹配情况的关键指标。应计比率是将某一段时间内的FCF从利润中减去,然后将结果除以公司在那段时间内的平均营运资产。你可以将从现金流量中计算的应计比率看作“非FCF盈利比例”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它显示公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然拥有正的应计比率不是问题,表明一定水平的非现金利润,但高的应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇论文“具有更高应计的公司趋向于在未来盈利更少”。

For the year to September 2024, Sunresin New MaterialsLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.21. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥414m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥795.3m. Sunresin New MaterialsLtd shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months.

截至2024年9月,蓝晓科技的应计比例为0.21。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流大幅低于其报告的利润。事实上,在过去一年中,其自由现金流为人民币41400万,远低于其法定利润人民币79530万。蓝晓科技的股东们无疑希望其自由现金流明年能够反弹,因为在过去12个月中已下滑。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On Sunresin New MaterialsLtd's Profit Performance

我们对蓝晓科技的盈利表现发表看法。

Sunresin New MaterialsLtd didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Sunresin New MaterialsLtd's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Sunresin New MaterialsLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sunresin New MaterialsLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be familiar with.

蓝晓科技在过去一年中并未将大部分利润转化为自由现金流,一些投资者可能认为这相当不理想。因此,我们认为蓝晓科技的法定利润可能比其潜在盈利能力更好。但好消息是,过去三年其每股收益增长非常令人印象深刻。本文的目标是评估我们能否依靠法定收益来反映公司潜力,但还有很多要考虑的因素。如果您想更深入地了解蓝晓科技,您还应该考虑它目前面临的风险。例如,我们已经发现蓝晓科技存在2个警示信号(其中1个有点令人不快),您应该熟悉。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Sunresin New MaterialsLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天我们将聚焦一个单一的数据点,以更好地了解蓝晓科技的盈利性质。但如果您能集中精力关注细微之处,您将发现更多。例如,许多人认为高净资产回报是有利于企业经济的指标,而其他人则喜欢“追踪资金”并寻找内部人员正在购买的股票。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个拥有高净资产回报公司的自由收藏集,或者这份持有重要内部股份的股票清单会很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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