share_log

Analysts Just Made A Major Revision To Their Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605376) Revenue Forecasts

Analysts Just Made A Major Revision To Their Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605376) Revenue Forecasts

分析师刚刚对博迁新材料股份有限公司(SHSE:605376)的营业收入预测进行了重大修订
Simply Wall St ·  10/31 08:09

The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605376), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. This report focused on revenue estimates, and it looks as though the consensus view of the business has become substantially more conservative.

最新的分析师覆盖可能预示着江苏博迁新材料股份有限公司(SHSE:605376)将度过糟糕的一天,分析师们对其法定估计进行了全面下调,这可能让股东们感到有些震惊。 该报告侧重于营业收入估计,似乎业务的共识观点变得更加保守。

Following the downgrade, the most recent consensus for Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock from its three analysts is for revenues of CN¥1.2b in 2025 which, if met, would be a sizeable 29% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to soar 343% to CN¥0.68. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥1.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.75 in 2025. Indeed, we can see that analyst sentiment has declined measurably after the new consensus came out, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a minor downgrade to EPS estimates to boot.

在下调之后,江苏博迁新材料股票的最新三位分析师的一致预测是2025年营业收入达到12亿元人民币,如果实现的话,将比过去12个月的销售额增长29%。根据假设,每股收益预计将激增343%至0.68元人民币。此前,分析师们曾建模预测2025年营业收入13亿元人民币,每股收益为0.75元人民币。事实上,我们可以看到新的共识出炉后,分析师情绪明显下滑,营业收入预测大幅下降,EPS 预测也略微下调。

big
SHSE:605376 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2024
SHSE:605376 2024年10月31日盈利和营业收入增长

Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the CN¥23.00 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value.

尽管对预测盈利进行了调整,但23.00元人民币的目标价位没有实质性变化,显示分析师认为这些变化对其内在价值没有具体影响。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 23% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 7.2% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 9.4% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock to grow faster than the wider industry.

现在看更大的画面,理解这些预测的方式之一是将其与过去业绩和行业增长预测进行对比。分析师确实预计江苏博迁新材料股票的增速将加快,预计截至2025年底的年增长率为23%,与过去五年每年7.2%的历史增长率相比排名较高。相比之下,我们的数据表明,预期增长率为9.4%的同行业其他公司(获得分析师覆盖)的营业收入增长。很明显,尽管增长前景比最近更加乐观,但分析师也预期江苏博迁新材料股票的增速将快于整个行业。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock. While analysts did downgrade their revenue estimates, these forecasts still imply revenues will perform better than the wider market. Overall, given the drastic downgrade to next year's forecasts, we'd be feeling a little more wary of Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock going forwards.

新估算中最大的问题是,分析师已经降低了每股收益的估算,暗示博迁新材股票未来可能面临业务阻力。 尽管分析师确实调低了他们的营业收入估算,但这些预测仍暗示着收入将比整个市场表现更好。 总体而言,考虑到明年预测的急剧下调,我们对博迁新材股票未来感到更加谨慎。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

话虽如此,公司收益的长期轨迹比明年更为重要。 我们有2026年多位博迁新材股票分析师的估算,您可以在我们的平台免费查看。

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

当然,看到公司管理层投入大量资金投资股票的情况与分析师是否对其评级下调一样有用。因此,您还可以搜索此处的高内部所有权股票的免费列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发