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Is Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology (SZSE:300551) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology (SZSE:300551) Using Too Much Debt?

古鳌科技(SZSE:300551)是否使用了过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  10/30 20:24

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300551) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

有人说,作为投资者,更应该将波动性而不是债务视为风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过,“波动性与风险远非同义词”。因此,聪明的资金知道,在评估一家公司的风险时,债务(通常与破产有关)是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,上海古鳌电子科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300551)在业务中确实使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务到底产生了多少风险呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务为企业提供帮助,直到企业无法用新资本或自由现金流来偿还债务。最终,如果公司无法履行其法律还债义务,股东可能一文不值地离开。然而,更常见的(但依然痛苦)情况是,公司必须以低价筹集新股本资金,从而永久地稀释股东权益。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表了廉价资本,特别是当它替代在具有高回报率的公司上再投资时的稀释时。当我们审视债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平,两者结合在一起。

What Is Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology's Net Debt?

上海古鳌电子科技的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology had debt of CN¥21.6m, up from none in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥178.4m in cash, so it actually has CN¥156.8m net cash.

下面的图片(可单击以查看更详细信息)显示,2024年9月,上海古鳌电子科技的债务为2160万人民币,比一年前增加。然而,其资产负债表显示,它持有17840万人民币的现金,因此实际上净现金为15680万人民币。

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SZSE:300551 Debt to Equity History October 31st 2024
SZSE:300551债务与股东权益历史2024年10月31日

A Look At Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology's Liabilities

古鳌科技资产负债情况一览

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology had liabilities of CN¥258.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥93.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥178.4m in cash and CN¥174.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

从最近的资产负债表可以看出,古鳌科技一年内到期的负债为人民币25880万,到期日后的负债为人民币9340万。与此相抵,其有人民币17840万现金及人民币17410万应于12个月内到期的应收账款。因此,其总负债几乎与其短期、流动资产完全匹配。

Having regard to Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥4.83b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

考虑到古鳌科技的规模,其流动资产似乎与总负债相当平衡。因此,虽然很难想象这家市值48.3亿人民币的公司会因现金紧张而苦苦挣扎,但我们仍认为值得密切关注其资产负债表。简单地说,古鳌科技拥有净现金,因此可以说其没有沉重的债务负担!在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但古鳌科技的收入将影响资产负债表未来的表现。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得关注收入趋势。单击此处查看互动快照。

In the last year Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 43%, to CN¥352m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

去年,古鳌科技利息和税前亏损,并实际上使其营业收入减少了43%至人民币35200万。这让我们至少感到紧张。

So How Risky Is Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology?

古鳌科技有多大风险?

While Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥45m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology that you should be aware of.

虽然古鳌科技在利息和税前盈利(EBIT)水平上亏损,但实际上产生了人民币4500万的正面自由现金流。因此,就其表面价值和考虑净现金状况而言,我们认为该股票在短期内并不太冒险。在过去一年中,营业收入增长中等,我们并不认为投资机会特别吸引人。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要重点关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们已经发现了古鳌科技的2个警示迹象,你应该注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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