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Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For Enovix Corporation (NASDAQ:ENVX) After Its Latest Results

Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For Enovix Corporation (NASDAQ:ENVX) After Its Latest Results

分析人士在纳斯达克公司(纳斯达克:ENVX)公布最新业绩之后,已经降低了预期
Simply Wall St ·  10/31 20:29

Enovix Corporation (NASDAQ:ENVX) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. Results overall were solid, with revenues arriving 5.0% better than analyst forecasts at US$4.3m. Higher revenues also resulted in substantially lower statutory losses which, at US$0.13 per share, were 5.0% smaller than the analysts expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

纳斯达克上市公司Enovix Corporation(NASDAQ:ENVX)刚发布了季度报告,情况看好。总体来说,业绩表现稳健,营业收入达到了430万美元,比分析师预测高出5.0%。更高的营业收入也显著降低了法定损失,每股0.13美元,比分析师预期的小了5.0%。分析师们通常会在每次财报后更新他们的预测,我们可以从他们的估计中判断公司的情况是否有变化,或者是否有任何需要注意的新问题。我们已收集最新的法定预测,以查看分析师是否已调整了他们的盈利模型,以反映这些结果。

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NasdaqGS:ENVX Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2024
NasdaqGS:ENVX于2024年10月31日的盈利和营收增长

After the latest results, the eleven analysts covering Enovix are now predicting revenues of US$46.1m in 2025. If met, this would reflect a major 122% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Losses are expected to be contained, narrowing 16% from last year to US$1.16. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$53.4m and US$1.14 per share in losses. So there's definitely been a change in sentiment in this update, with the analysts administering a substantial haircut to next year's revenue estimates, while at the same time holding losses per share steady.

根据最新的结果,覆盖Enovix的十一名分析师预测2025年的营业收入将达到4610万美元。如果达成,这将反映出与过去12个月相比,营收明显提高了122%。预计损失将得到控制,较去年减少16%,至1.16美元。在此最新报告发布之前,市场预期的营业收入为5340万美元,每股损失为1.14美元。因此,在这次更新中情绪明显有所变化,分析师大幅削减了明年的营收预期,同时保持每股损失稳定。

There was no real change to the average price target of US$28.58, suggesting that the revisions to revenue estimates are not expected to have a long-term impact on Enovix's valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Enovix analyst has a price target of US$100.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$14.00. We would probably assign less value to the analyst forecasts in this situation, because such a wide range of estimates could imply that the future of this business is difficult to value accurately. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.

对于28.58美元的平均目标价并没有真正变化,表明营收预测的修订不太可能对Enovix的估值产生长期影响。共识目标价只是个别分析师目标的平均值,因此,看一下底层估算范围有可能很有帮助。最乐观的Enovix分析师给出的目标价为每股100.00美元,而最悲观的值为每股14.00美元。在这种情况下,我们可能会较少看重分析师的预测,因为这么广泛的估算范围可能暗示着这家公司的未来很难准确评估价值。因此,基于共识目标价做决策可能不是一个好主意,毕竟这只是这一系列估算的平均值。

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Enovix'shistorical trends, as the 89% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 77% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 8.5% per year. So although Enovix is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

我们可以将这些估算放在更大的背景下来看,比如预测与过去表现的对比,以及预测相对于行业其他公司更看好还是更谨慎。从最新的预测中我们可以推断,预测预计Enovix的历史趋势将继续,因为到2025年底的89%年化营业收入增长大致与过去五年的77%年增长率相当。相比之下,我们的数据表明,同行业其他(有分析师覆盖)公司的预测显示,预计他们的营业收入每年增长8.5%。因此,尽管Enovix预计将保持营收增长率,但肯定预计将比更广泛的行业增长速度更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their loss per share estimates for next year. They also downgraded Enovix's revenue estimates, but industry data suggests that it is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最重要的是分析师们重申了他们对明年每股亏损的估算。他们还下调了Enovix的营收预期,但行业数据表明预计它将比更广泛的行业增长更快。共识目标价格没有实质性变化,表明业务的内在价值在最新预测中没有发生重大变化。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Enovix analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

话虽如此,公司盈利的长期轨迹比明年更重要。我们有来自多位Enovix分析师的估算,延伸至2026年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Enovix you should know about.

那风险呢?每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现Enovix存在4个警示信号,您应该了解。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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