There May Be Reason For Hope In CHTC Helon's (SZSE:000677) Disappointing Earnings
There May Be Reason For Hope In CHTC Helon's (SZSE:000677) Disappointing Earnings
The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from CHTC Helon Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000677), despite the profit numbers being soft. Our analysis suggests that investors may have noticed some promising signs beyond the statutory profit figures.
市场对浙电股份有限公司(SZSE:000677)最近的收益报告感到满意,尽管利润数字较为平淡。我们的分析表明,投资者可能已经注意到一些超越法定利润数字的有希望的迹象。
A Closer Look At CHTC Helon's Earnings
浙电股份收益更近看
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
很多投资者没有听说过现金流量的应计比率,但它实际上是一个衡量公司利润在一个给定期间内由自由现金流(FCF)支持的有用指标。为了获得应计比率,首先我们需要从一个期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均营运资产。该比率显示公司利润超过FCF的多少。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它显示公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然拥有正的应计比率不是问题,表明一定水平的非现金利润,但高的应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇论文“具有更高应计的公司趋向于在未来盈利更少”。
CHTC Helon has an accrual ratio of -0.10 for the year to September 2024. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥110m, well over the CN¥45.8m it reported in profit. CHTC Helon's year-on-year free cash flow was as flat as two-day-old fizzy drink.
浙电股份2024年9月的应计比率为-0.10。这意味着它具有良好的现金转换,也意味着其自由现金流在去年稳固地超过了利润。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告了人民币11000万元的自由现金流,远超过其报告的4580万元利润。浙电股份的年度自由现金流如同两天前开启的汽水。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of CHTC Helon.
注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对浙电股份资产负债表分析。
Our Take On CHTC Helon's Profit Performance
我们对中航光电的利润表现持有看法
CHTC Helon's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think CHTC Helon's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. While earnings are important, another area to consider is the balance sheet. If you're interested we have a graphic representation of CHTC Helon's balance sheet.
中航光电的应计比率稳固,显示出强劲的自由现金流,正如我们之前讨论的一样。由于这一点,我们认为中航光电的盈利潜力至少像看上去那么好,甚至可能更好!不幸的是,过去一年其每股收益实际上有所下降。本文的目标是评估我们能否依靠法定盈利来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多值得考虑的地方。虽然盈利很重要,但另一个需要考虑的领域是资产负债表。如果您感兴趣,我们有中航光电资产负债表的图形表示。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of CHTC Helon's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天我们关注了一个数据点,以更好地了解中航光电利润的性质。但还有很多其他方法可以帮助您了解一家公司的情况。有些人认为高股东权益回报率是优质企业的一个良好迹象。虽然这可能需要您做一些研究,您可能会发现拥有高股东权益回报率的公司的免费收集,或拥有重要内部持股的股票清单对您有用。
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