Hengtong Optic-Electric Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
Hengtong Optic-Electric Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
As you might know, Hengtong Optic-Electric Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600487) just kicked off its latest third-quarter results with some very strong numbers. It was a solid earnings report, with revenues and statutory earnings per share (EPS) both coming in strong. Revenues were 17% higher than the analysts had forecast, at CN¥16b, while EPS were CN¥0.29 beating analyst models by 32%. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Hengtong Optic-Electric after the latest results.
你可能知道,恒通光电有限公司(SHSE: 600487)刚刚以一些非常强劲的数字拉开了第三季度业绩的序幕。这是一份稳健的收益报告,收入和法定每股收益(EPS)均表现强劲。收入比分析师的预测高出17%,为160元人民币,而每股收益为0.29元人民币,比分析师的模型高出32%。分析师通常会在每份收益报告中更新他们的预测,我们可以从他们的估计中判断他们对公司的看法是否发生了变化,或者是否有任何新的问题需要注意。读者会很高兴得知我们已经汇总了最新的法定预测,以了解分析师在最新业绩公布后是否改变了对恒通光电的看法。
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Hengtong Optic-Electric's eight analysts is for revenues of CN¥62.8b in 2025. This reflects a notable 14% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 23% to CN¥1.35. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥62.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.36 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
考虑到最新业绩,亨通光电的八位分析师的共识预测是,2025年的收入为628元人民币。这反映了与过去12个月相比,收入显著增长了14%。预计每股法定收益将反弹23%,至1.35元人民币。然而,在最新财报公布之前,分析师曾预计2025年收入为624元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为1.36元人民币。因此,很明显,尽管分析师已经更新了估计,但在最新业绩公布后,对该业务的预期没有重大变化。
The analysts reconfirmed their price target of CN¥18.05, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Hengtong Optic-Electric, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥23.58 and the most bearish at CN¥11.50 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
分析师再次确认了18.05元人民币的目标股价,这表明该业务表现良好,符合预期。但是,还有另一种思考价格目标的方法,那就是研究分析师提出的价格目标范围,因为范围广泛的估计可能表明,对业务可能的结果有不同的看法。对亨通光电的看法各不相同,最看涨的分析师将其估值为23.58元人民币,最看跌的为每股11.50元人民币。这是相当广泛的估计,表明分析师正在预测该业务的各种可能结果。
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 11% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 11% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry (in aggregate), which analyst estimates suggest will see revenues grow 22% annually. So although Hengtong Optic-Electric is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's forecast to grow slower than the wider industry.
我们可以从大局的角度看待这些估计值的另一种方式,例如预测如何与过去的表现相提并论,以及预测相对于业内其他公司是否或多或少看涨。分析师表示,到2025年底将带来更多相同的情况,收入预计按年计算将增长11%。这与其在过去五年中11%的年增长率一致。相比之下,整个行业(总体而言),分析师估计,该行业的收入每年将增长22%。因此,尽管预计亨通光电将保持其收入增长率,但预计其增长速度将低于整个行业。
The Bottom Line
底线
The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Hengtong Optic-Electric's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥18.05, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
最明显的结论是,该业务的前景最近没有重大变化,分析师的收益预测保持稳定,与先前的估计一致。幸运的是,分析师还重申了他们的收入预期,表明收入符合预期。尽管我们的数据确实表明,亨通光电的收入预计将低于整个行业。共识目标股价稳定在18.05元人民币,最新估计不足以对其目标股价产生影响。
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Hengtong Optic-Electric going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
根据这种思路,我们认为该业务的长期前景比明年的收益重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我们有分析师对亨通光电到2026年的全方位估计,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到这些估计。
Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for Hengtong Optic-Electric that we have uncovered.
在你采取下一步行动之前,你应该了解我们发现的亨通光电的1个警告标志。
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