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Earnings Miss: NARI Technology Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 6.4% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Earnings Miss: NARI Technology Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 6.4% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

盈利不及预期:国电南瑞科技股份有限公司每股收益低于预期6.4%,分析师正在调整其预测。
Simply Wall St ·  10/31 18:10

Last week saw the newest quarterly earnings release from NARI Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600406), an important milestone in the company's journey to build a stronger business. It was a pretty mixed result, with revenues beating expectations to hit CN¥12b. Statutory earnings fell 6.4% short of analyst forecasts, reaching CN¥0.22 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

上周国电南瑞科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600406)发布了最新的季度收益报告,这是公司业务发展道路上的一个重要里程碑。这是一个相对复杂的结果,营业收入超出预期达到120亿人民币。法定每股收益和分析师预测相比下降了6.4%,达到每股0.22人民币。对于投资者来说,这是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以通过报告跟踪公司的表现,查看专家对明年的预测,并了解业务预期是否有任何变化。我们认为读者会发现看到分析师对明年最新的(法定)盈利预测很有趣。

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SHSE:600406 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2024
SHSE:600406 2024年10月31日的盈利和营收增长

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for NARI Technology from 19 analysts is for revenues of CN¥64.5b in 2025. If met, it would imply a notable 17% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to shoot up 22% to CN¥1.14. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥64.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.15 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

考虑到最新的结果,19名分析师对国电南瑞科技2025年的预期是营业收入达到645亿人民币。如果实现,将意味着过去12个月营业收入显着增长了17%。预计法定每股收益将增长22%,达到1.14人民币。在此报告之前,分析师一直在模拟预测2025年的营业收入为647亿人民币,每股收益为1.15人民币。共识分析师似乎没有从这些结果中看到任何会改变他们对业务看法的内容,因为他们的估计没有发生重大变化。

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of CN¥29.07, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic NARI Technology analyst has a price target of CN¥35.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥25.85. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await NARI Technology shareholders.

分析师重申了他们对国电南瑞科技29.07人民币的目标价,显示业务表现良好,符合预期。共识目标价只是单个分析师目标的平均值,因此 - 查看潜在估值范围有关。国电南瑞科技最乐观的分析师把目标价设定为35.00人民币每股,而最悲观的则为25.85人民币。分析师对业务有不同的看法,但在我们看来,估计的范围并不足以暗示国电南瑞科技股东可能会遭遇极端结果。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of NARI Technology'shistorical trends, as the 13% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 11% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 17% per year. So although NARI Technology is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's forecast to grow slower than the wider industry.

现在放眼更大的图景,我们可以通过比较它们与过去业绩和行业增长预期的方式来理解这些预测。我们可以从最新的预测中推断出,预测预计国电南瑞历史趋势将延续,到2025年底的年化营业收入增长率为13%,大致与过去五年的11%年增长相一致。相比之下,我们的数据显示,预计在类似行业中的其他受分析师关注的公司,其营业收入每年预计增长17%。因此,尽管国电南瑞有望保持其营收增长率,但预计增速将低于更广泛的行业。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that NARI Technology's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最重要的一点是情绪没有发生重大变化,分析师重申业务表现与他们之前的每股收益估计相符。幸运的是,分析师还重申了他们的营收预计,表明它与预期保持一致。尽管我们的数据显示国电南瑞的营收预计将不如更广泛的行业表现。一致的目标价格没有真正变化,表明业务的内在价值与最新预期没有发生重大变化。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for NARI Technology going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

话虽如此,公司收益的长期轨迹比明年更为重要。在Simply Wall St,我们对国电南瑞到2026年的分析师估计有完整的范围,您可以免费在我们的平台上查看。

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with NARI Technology , and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

话虽如此,仍然有必要考虑投资风险的永恒阴影。我们已经发现了针对国电南瑞的1个警示,了解它应该是您投资过程的一部分。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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