Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment's (SZSE:300228) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals
Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment's (SZSE:300228) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals
Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300228) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.
尽管富瑞特装(SZSE:300228)发布了一些强劲的收益,但股价并没有大幅波动。我们进行了一些调查,发现了一些细节上令人担忧的因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment's Earnings
分析富瑞特装的现金流与盈利能力
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如金融迷所知,现金流量的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与盈利状况匹配程度的重要指标。要获得应计比率,我们首先要将某个时期的FCF从盈利中减去,然后将该数字除以该时期的平均经营资产。这个比率告诉我们公司多少盈利没有由自由现金流备支。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率则是消极的。这并不意味着我们应该担心正的应计比率,但值得注意的是应计比率相当高的地方。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往导致较低的利润或利润增长。
For the year to September 2024, Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment had an accrual ratio of 0.21. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥98m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥234.3m. It's worth noting that Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment generated positive FCF of CN¥91m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. The good news for shareholders is that Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.
截至2024年9月的年度,富瑞特装的应计比率为0.21。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远远低于所报利润。在过去一年中,其实际自由现金流为负9800万元人民币,而所述利润为23430万元人民币。值得注意的是,一年前,富瑞特装曾产生9100万元人民币的正自由现金流,至少在过去他们确实做到了。对股东的好消息是,富瑞特装去年的应计比率要好得多,因此今年的糟糕表现可能只是利润和自由现金流之间短期不匹配的情况。因此,一些股东可能正在寻求更强的现金转换率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment.
注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击这里,转到我们对富瑞特装资产负债表的分析。
Our Take On Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment's Profit Performance
关于富瑞特装的盈利表现我们的看法
Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
过去十二个月,富瑞特装的应计比率表明现金转化不佳,这在我们看来对其收益是负面的。因此,我们认为富瑞特装真正的基本盈利能力可能低于其法定利润。好消息是,该公司在今年取得了足够的改善以盈利,而去年还在亏损。当然,在分析其收益时,我们只是触及表面,人们还可以考虑边际、预测增长和投资回报等其他因素。有鉴于此,除非我们对风险有全面了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。例如,富瑞特装存在1个警示信号,我们认为您应该注意。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Zhangjiagang Furui Special Equipment's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天,我们将重点放在一个单一数据点上,以更好地了解富瑞特装的盈利性质。但还有很多其他方式可以帮助您了解一个公司。一些人认为高净资产回报率是企业质量的良好迹象。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个收集高净资产回报率公司的免费列表,或者这个拥有显著内部持股的股票名单会很有用。
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