Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300235)
Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300235)
The market for Shenzhen Kingsun Science & Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300235) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week. However, we think that shareholders should be cautious as we found some worrying factors underlying the profit.
深圳市金旭科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300235)的股票市场在上周发布健康收益报告后表现强劲。然而,我们认为股东应该保持谨慎,因为我们发现了一些影响利润的令人担忧的因素。
A Closer Look At Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's Earnings
深圳金旭科技股份有限公司盈利情况详细分析
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
正如财务迷们已经知道的那样,从现金流量的应计比率是一个判断公司自由现金流(FCF)与盈利匹配情况的关键指标。应计比率是将某一段时间内的FCF从利润中减去,然后将结果除以公司在那段时间内的平均营运资产。你可以将从现金流量中计算的应计比率看作“非FCF盈利比例”。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,负计提比率对公司而言是好事,而正计提比率则是坏事。虽然有正计提比率并不是问题,表明一定程度上有非现金利润,但高计提比率可谓是坏事,因为这表明钞票利润并未与现金流匹配。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,高计提比率通常是近期利润的招负迹象。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.10. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥51m, well over the CN¥23.5m it reported in profit. Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
在截至2024年9月的十二个月内,深圳金旭科技股份有限公司记录了-0.10的应计比率。这说明它具有良好的现金转换能力,意味着其自由现金流在去年大幅超过了利润。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告了5100万人民币的自由现金流,远远超过2350万人民币的利润。深圳金旭科技股份有限公司的自由现金流在过去一年中有所改善,这通常是一个好迹象。然而,还有更多需要考虑的地方。我们可以看到非常规项目影响了其法定利润,因此影响了应计比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。请单击此处,查看我们对深圳金旭科技股份有限公司资产负债表的分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常规项目如何影响利润?
Surprisingly, given Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥7.1m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
令人惊讶的是,深圳晶科科技有限公司的计提比率显示出强劲的现金转化,其虚假利润实际上因非常规项目而增加了710万人民币。尽管利润增加总是令人高兴的,但有时来自非常规项目的大额贡献会降低我们的热情。当我们对成千上万家上市公司进行数据分析时,我们发现给定年份的非常规项目增长往往在下一年不会重复。而且,这正是会计术语所暗示的。我们可以看到,深圳晶科科技有限公司在2024年9月的年度报告中,其正面非常规项目与利润相比相当显著。因此,我们可以推断,非常规项目使其法定利润比原本更强大。
Our Take On Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance
我们对深圳晶科科技有限公司的盈利表现的看法
Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Having considered these factors, we don't think Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you want to do dive deeper into Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd you should be mindful of and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
深圳晶科科技有限公司的利润得到来自非常规项目的提振,这表明这些利润可能无法持续,但其计提比率仍显示出可靠的现金转化,这是令人鼓舞的。考虑到这些因素,我们认为深圳晶科科技有限公司的法定利润并没有对业务产生过分严苛的看法。如果您想深入了解深圳晶科科技有限公司,还需研究其当前面临的风险。例如:我们已发现深圳晶科科技有限公司存在3个警告信号,您应该注意其中1个让我们有些不安。
Our examination of Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
我们对深圳晶科科技有限公司的调查集中在某些因素上,可以使其盈利看起来比实际情况更好。但如果您能专注于细枝末节,总是会有更多发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是质量企业的好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这些股本回报率高的公司免费收集,或这些高内部所有权股票清单。
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