share_log

Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's (SZSE:300407) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's (SZSE:300407) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

天津凯威亚电气股份有限公司(SZSE:300407)的股东不仅要担心收益不佳
Simply Wall St ·  10/31 19:23

Tianjin Keyvia Electric Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300407) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

天津凯发电气有限公司(深证:300407)最近的疲弱盈利报告没有引起大幅的股票波动。我们的分析表明,除了利润数字疲软外,投资者还应注意数字中存在的一些其他潜在弱点。

big
SZSE:300407 Earnings and Revenue History October 31st 2024
深证:300407 盈利和营业收入历史 2024年10月31日

Zooming In On Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's Earnings

聚焦天津凯发电气有限公司的盈利情况

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融领域,用于衡量公司将其报告利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是从现金流量中计算的应计率。简单点来说,这个比率从净利润中减去自由现金流,然后将这个数字除以公司在那段时间内的平均营业资产。从现金流来看,你可以把它看作是“非FCF利润率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率则是消极的。这并不意味着我们应该担心正的应计比率,但值得注意的是应计比率相当高的地方。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往导致较低的利润或利润增长。

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.13. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥265m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥93.3m. Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2024年9月的十二个月中,天津凯发电气有限公司记录的应计比率为-0.13。这意味着它具备良好的现金转换,且其自由现金流大大超过了去年的利润。在此期间,它产生的自由现金流为26,500万CN¥,远超报告的利润9,330万CN¥。天津凯发电气有限公司的自由现金流在过去一年有所改善,这通常是一个好兆头。然而,这个故事还有更多内容。应计比率反映出某些飞凡项目对法定利润的影响,至少部分是如此。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对天津凯发电气有限公司的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常规项目如何影响利润?

Surprisingly, given Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥27m in unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

令人惊讶的是,尽管凯发电气的应计比率暗示了强劲的现金转化能力,但其账面利润实际上因飞凡项目提高了2700万人民币。我们不能否认更高的利润通常让我们感到乐观,但我们更希望利润是可持续的。我们对全球大部分公开上市公司进行了数字分析,飞凡项目的出现通常是一次性的。考虑到这一点,这并不令人意外。凯发电气相对于截至2024年9月的利润,有相当显著的飞凡项目贡献。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会导致法定利润对基础盈利能力的指导性较差。

Our Take On Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's Profit Performance

我们对凯发电气利润表现的看法

Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 4 warning signs with Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

凯发电气的利润受到了飞凡项目的推动,这表明它们可能不会持续,但其应计比率仍然显示出稳健的现金转化,这很有前景。基于这些因素,我们认为凯发电气的法定利润看起来弱于实际情况的可能性非常小。考虑到这一点,我们不会考虑投资于某只股票,除非我们对风险有透彻的理解。在投资风险方面,我们已识别出凯发电气的4个警告信号,了解这些应成为您投资过程的一部分。

Our examination of Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

我们对凯发电气的研究侧重于某些因素,这些因素可能使其收益看起来比实际更好。但如果您能够专注于细节,总有更多东西可以发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利商业经济的证明,而其他人则倾向于‘跟随资金’寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。因此,您可能希望查看这一免费的高股本回报率公司合集,或是这一内部持股较高的股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发