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Sinoseal Holding Co., Ltd. Just Missed EPS By 12%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Sinoseal Holding Co., Ltd. Just Missed EPS By 12%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

中密控股有限公司的每股收益仅相对低了12%:分析师认为接下来会发生什么
Simply Wall St ·  11/01 07:44

As you might know, Sinoseal Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300470) recently reported its quarterly numbers. It was not a great result overall. Although revenues beat expectations, hitting CN¥419m, statutory earnings missed analyst forecasts by 12%, coming in at just CN¥0.47 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Sinoseal Holding after the latest results.

你可能知道,中密控股有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:300470)最近公布了其季度数据。总体而言,这不是一个好结果。尽管收入超出预期,达到41900万元人民币,但法定收益仍未达到分析师的预期12%,每股收益仅为0.47元人民币。根据结果,分析师更新了他们的盈利模式,很高兴知道他们是否认为公司的前景发生了巨大变化,或者业务是否照旧。读者会很高兴得知我们已经汇总了最新的法定预测,以了解分析师在最新业绩公布后是否改变了对中密封控股的看法。

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SZSE:300470 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2024
SZSE: 300470 2024 年 10 月 31 日收益和收入增长

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Sinoseal Holding from four analysts is for revenues of CN¥1.73b in 2025. If met, it would imply a notable 14% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to step up 17% to CN¥2.12. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥1.73b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.20 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

考虑到最新业绩,四位分析师对中密控股的最新共识是,2025年的收入为17.3元人民币。如果得到满足,这意味着其收入在过去12个月中将显著增长14%。预计每股法定收益将增长17%,至2.12元人民币。在本报告发布之前,分析师一直在模拟2025年的收入为17.3元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为2.20元人民币。鉴于明年每股收益略有下降,分析师在最新业绩公布后似乎对该业务变得更加负面了。

The consensus price target held steady at CN¥49.59, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Sinoseal Holding at CN¥51.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥48.18. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Sinoseal Holding is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

共识目标股价稳定在49.59元人民币,分析师似乎投票认为,在可预见的将来,他们较低的预期收益预计不会导致股价下跌。研究分析师的估计范围,评估异常值与平均值的差异程度也可能很有启发性。目前,最看涨的分析师对中密封控股的估值为每股51.00元人民币,而最看跌的分析师估值为48.18元人民币。即便如此,在估计分组相对接近的情况下,分析师似乎对自己的估值非常有信心,这表明中密控股是一家易于预测的企业,或者分析师都使用了类似的假设。

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Sinoseal Holding's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 11% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 12% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 16% per year. So although Sinoseal Holding is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's forecast to grow slower than the wider industry.

这些估计很有趣,但是在查看预测与中密封控股过去的表现以及与同一行业的同行进行比较时,可以更粗略地描述一些细节。分析师表示,到2025年底将带来更多相同的情况,收入预计按年计算将增长11%。这与其在过去五年中12%的年增长率一致。相比之下,我们的数据表明,预计类似行业的其他公司(有分析师报道)的收入每年将增长16%。因此,尽管预计中密封控股将保持其收入增长率,但预计其增长速度将低于整个行业。

The Bottom Line

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The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Sinoseal Holding. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥49.59, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

最大的担忧是,分析师下调了每股收益预期,这表明中密控股可能会面临业务不利因素。从好的方面来看,收入估计没有重大变化;尽管预测表明它们的表现将比整个行业差。共识目标股价稳定在49.59元人民币,最新估计不足以对其目标股价产生影响。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Sinoseal Holding. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Sinoseal Holding analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考虑到这一点,我们不会很快就中封控股得出结论。长期盈利能力比明年的利润重要得多。根据多位中封控股分析师的估计,到2026年,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到这些估计。

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Sinoseal Holding you should know about.

那风险呢?每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了一个你应该知道的中密封控股的警告标志。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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