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China Transinfo Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002373) Third-Quarter Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

China Transinfo Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002373) Third-Quarter Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

千方科技股份有限公司 (SZSE:002373) 刚刚公布了第三季度的业绩:分析师对明年的预测是什么
Simply Wall St ·  11/01 07:38

It's been a good week for China Transinfo Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002373) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest third-quarter results, and the shares gained 4.6% to CN¥10.28. China Transinfo Technology's revenues suffered a miss, falling 13% short of forecasts, at CN¥1.8b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) however performed much better, reaching break-even. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

对千方科技(SZSE:002373)的股东来说,这是一个好周,因为公司刚刚发布了最新的第三季度业绩,股价上涨了4.6%,达到了CN¥10.28。千方科技的营业收入未能达到预期,少了13%,为CN¥18亿。然而,法定每股收益(EPS)表现得更好,实现了盈亏平衡。收益是投资者非常关注的时刻,因为他们可以跟踪公司的表现,查看分析师对明年的预测,并观察对公司的情绪是否发生变化。有鉴于此,我们收集了最新的法定预测,看看分析师对明年的期望。

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SZSE:002373 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2024
SZSE:002373 2024年10月31日的收益和营业收入增长

Following the latest results, China Transinfo Technology's seven analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥9.99b in 2025. This would be a sizeable 26% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 161% to CN¥0.39. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥10.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.39 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

在最新的业绩发布后,千方科技的七位分析师现在预测2025年的营业收入为CN¥99.9亿。这将比过去12个月的营业收入增长26%。每股收益预计将激增161%,达到CN¥0.39。在这份收益报告之前,分析师预计2025年的营业收入为CN¥100亿, 每股收益(EPS)为CN¥0.39。因此,尽管分析师更新了他们的估计,但最新结果后,业务预期没有重大变化。

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of CN¥9.71, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on China Transinfo Technology, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥13.00 and the most bearish at CN¥5.10 per share. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

收益或营业收入估计以及CN¥9.71的价格目标没有变化,这表明公司在最近的业绩中达到了预期。共识价格目标只是各个分析师目标的平均值,因此,查看基础估计的区间范围会很有帮助。关于千方科技,分析师间有一些不同的看法,最看好的分析师将其估值为CN¥13.00,而最看淡的则为每股CN¥5.10。注意分析师价格目标间的宽差距吗?这意味着我们认为在基础业务上有相当广泛的潜在情景。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. For example, we noticed that China Transinfo Technology's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 20% growth to the end of 2025 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 4.1% a year over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 15% per year. Not only are China Transinfo Technology's revenues expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are also expecting it to grow faster than the wider industry.

了解这些预测的一个途径是查看它们与过去表现的比较,以及同行业其他公司的表现。 例如,我们注意到千方科技的增长速度预计将显著加快,预计到2025年底的年营业收入将增长20%。这远高于过去五年年均4.1%的历史下降率。 相比之下,我们的数据表明,行业中其他公司(有分析师覆盖)的收入预计每年增长15%。千方科技的营业收入不仅预计会改善,而且看来分析师也期望其增长速度快于更广泛的行业。

The Bottom Line

结论

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥9.71, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

最明显的结论是,最近一段时间业务前景没有重大变化,分析师们将其盈利预测保持稳定,与之前的估计保持一致。 令人欣慰的是,营业收入预测没有重大变化,预计业务仍将比其他行业增长更快。 共识价格目标保持在CN¥9.71,最新估计不足以对其价格目标产生影响。

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for China Transinfo Technology going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考虑到这一点,我们仍然认为,业务的长期轨迹对投资者来说更为重要。 我们对千方科技的预测一直持续到2026年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

You can also see our analysis of China Transinfo Technology's Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

您还可以查看我们对千方科技董事会和首席执行官薪酬与经验的分析,以及公司内部人士是否在买入股票。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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