Newtechwood's (SZSE:301588) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture
Newtechwood's (SZSE:301588) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture
Newtechwood Corporation's (SZSE:301588) stock showed strength, with investors undeterred by its weak earnings report. While shareholders may be willing to overlook soft profit numbers, we believe that they should also be taking into account some other factors which may be cause for concern.
新科技木有限公司(SZSE:301588)的股票表现强劲,投资者并未因其疲弱的盈利报告而气馁。虽然股东可能愿意忽视较软的利润数字,但我们认为他们也应该考虑一些可能令人担忧的其他因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Newtechwood's Earnings
检视现金流与新科技木的盈利情况
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如财务控制狂所知,从现金流中的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与其利润匹配程度的关键指标。应计比率从给定期间的FCF中减去利润,并将结果除以公司在该时间内的平均经营资产。该比率告诉我们公司利润中有多少不受自由现金流支持。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
这意味着负面预提比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司所获得的自由现金流比其利润所示的要多。这并不意味着我们应该担心正面的预提比率,但值得注意的是,如果预提比率很高的话就要考虑这个问题。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇论文:“预提较高的公司未来的盈利能力较低”。
Newtechwood has an accrual ratio of 0.42 for the year to September 2024. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥59.2m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥327m in the last year. We also note that Newtechwood's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥327m.
新科技木在截至2024年9月的年度中,权责发生制比率为0.42。从统计学角度来看,这对于未来的收益而言是个真正的负面因素。实际上,在此期间,该公司没有产生任何自由现金流。尽管其报告的利润为CN¥5920万,但查看自由现金流显示,实际上在去年它消耗了CN¥32700万。我们还注意到,新科技木去年的自由现金流实际上也是负值,因此我们可以理解如果股东对其流出CN¥32700万感到不安。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Newtechwood.
备注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。点击此处以查看我们对新科技木的资产负债表分析。
Our Take On Newtechwood's Profit Performance
我们对于Newtechwood的盈利表现的看法
As we discussed above, we think Newtechwood's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Newtechwood's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Newtechwood you should be mindful of and 1 of these shouldn't be ignored.
正如我们上面所讨论的,我们认为Newtechwood的盈利未得到自由现金流的支持,这可能会引起一些投资者的担忧。 因此,我们认为Newtechwood的基本盈利能力可能低于其法定利润。 不幸的是,其每股收益在过去的十二个月里有所下降。 毕竟,如果想要正确理解这家公司,考虑的不仅仅是上述因素是至关重要的。 请记住,在分析股票时,要注意相关风险。 举个例子:我们发现了Newtechwood的两个警告信号,你应该留意其中一个不应被忽视。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Newtechwood's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
今天我们聚焦于一个数据点,以更好地理解Newtechwood的利润性质。 但是还有很多其他方式可以帮助你形成对公司的看法。 有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的良好标志。 所以你可能希望查看这份显示高股本回报率的公司免费汇编,或者这份拥有高内部持股的股票名单。
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