China Fortune Land Development (SHSE:600340) Shareholders Are up 49% This Past Week, but Still in the Red Over the Last Five Years
China Fortune Land Development (SHSE:600340) Shareholders Are up 49% This Past Week, but Still in the Red Over the Last Five Years
It is a pleasure to report that the China Fortune Land Development Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600340) is up 113% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last half decade have been stomach churning. In fact, the share price has tumbled down a mountain to land 90% lower after that period. The recent bounce might mean the long decline is over, but we are not confident. The real question is whether the business can leave its past behind and improve itself over the years ahead. We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It's a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it's worth keeping in mind there's more to life than money, anyway.
很高兴向大家报告,华夏幸福(SHSE:600340)上涨了113%,并且持续了一个季度。 但是这并不改变过去五年回报令人感到不安的事实。 实际上,股价在那段时间后下跌了90%。 最近的反弹可能意味着长期下跌已经结束,但我们并不太有信心。 真正的问题是业务是否能抛开过去,改善其未来的几年。 我们对股东在这种情况下感到非常遗憾。 这很好地提醒了分散投资的重要性,并且值得记住生活中不仅仅是金钱。
On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥2.9b to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.
更令人鼓舞的是,公司在过去7天内市值增加了29亿人民币,因此让我们看看是否能够判断是什么导致了股东的五年亏损。
China Fortune Land Development isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
华夏幸福目前没有盈利,因此大多数分析师会查看营业收入增长,以了解基础业务增长速度。 一般来说,预期无利润的公司每年都会增长营收,并且速度较快。 正如您可以想象的,保持快速的营收增长通常会导致快速的利润增长。
Over half a decade China Fortune Land Development reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 32% for each year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. So it's not altogether surprising to see the share price down 14% per year in the same time period. This kind of price performance makes us very wary, especially when combined with falling revenue. Of course, the poor performance could mean the market has been too severe selling down. That can happen.
在半个世纪的时间里,华夏幸福每年将其最近12个月的营业收入减少32%。 这使其处于一个不太吸引人的队列中,委婉地说。 因此,在同一时期,股价每年下跌14%并不奇怪。 这种价格表现使我们非常谨慎,特别是当与营收下降相结合时。 当然,糟糕的表现可能意味着市场过于严厉地抛售。 这种情况是有可能发生的。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):
This free interactive report on China Fortune Land Development's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
这份免费的互动报告关于华夏幸福的资产负债表实力是一个很好的起点,如果你想进一步调查这支股票。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
It's nice to see that China Fortune Land Development shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 23% over the last year. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 14% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with China Fortune Land Development (including 2 which are concerning) .
很高兴看到华夏幸福的股东在过去一年里获得了总股东回报率达23%。尤其是过去五年的年度总股东回报率每年下跌14%,与最近股价表现相比非常不利。长期亏损使我们谨慎,但短期总股东回报的增长确实暗示着更光明的未来。我觉得长期观察股价作为业务表现的一种替代方式非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。因此,你应该了解我们发现的有关华夏幸福的3个警示信号(其中2个令人担忧)。
Of course China Fortune Land Development may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,华夏幸福可能不是最佳的购买股票。因此,你可能希望查看这些免费的增长股集合。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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