These 4 Measures Indicate That AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002179) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
These 4 Measures Indicate That AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002179) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that AVIC Jonhon Optronic Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002179) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到中航工业中航光电技术有限公司, Ltd.(深圳证券交易所:002179)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。
What Is AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd's Net Debt?
中航工业中航光电科技有限公司的净负债是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd had CN¥1.01b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥1.25b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥8.00b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥6.99b.
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示中航工业中航光电科技有限公司在2024年9月的债务为10.1元人民币,低于一年前的12.5元人民币。但是,它确实有80元人民币的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为69.9元人民币。

A Look At AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd's Liabilities
看看中航工业中航光电科技有限公司的负债
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥13.1b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥876.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥8.00b in cash and CN¥15.3b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥9.29b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,中航工业中航光电科技有限公司的负债为131元人民币,在一年内到期,在此之后到期的负债为87660万元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有80元人民币的现金和153元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的流动资产实际上比总负债多出92.9元人民币。
This surplus suggests that AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这种盈余表明,中航工业中航光电科技有限公司的资产负债表比较保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,中航工业中航光电科技有限公司拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!
But the bad news is that AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd has seen its EBIT plunge 13% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
但坏消息是,中航工业中航光电科技有限公司的息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了13%。如果收益的下降速度持续下去,该公司可能会陷入困境。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益将决定中航工业中航光电科技有限公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd recorded free cash flow of 21% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。尽管中航工业Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将利息和税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。纵观最近三年,中航工业中航光电科技有限公司的自由现金流占其息税前利润的21%,低于我们的预期。这种疲软的现金转换使得处理债务变得更加困难。
Summing Up
总结一下
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd has net cash of CN¥6.99b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - AVIC Jonhon Optronic TechnologyLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
虽然我们同情那些认为债务担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,中航工业中航光电科技有限公司的净现金为69.9元人民币,流动资产也多于负债。因此,我们对中航工业中航光电科技有限公司的债务使用并不感到困扰。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,中航工业中航光电科技有限公司有 1 个警告标志,我们认为您应该注意。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,通常最好专注于没有净负债的公司。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长的记录)。它是免费的。
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