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Is Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media (SZSE:002181) A Risky Investment?

Is Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media (SZSE:002181) A Risky Investment?

粤传媒(SZSE:002181)是否是一个风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  11/01 15:21

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002181) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克斯表达得非常到位,他说,与其担心股价波动,'我担心的是永久性损失的可能性...我认识的每个实际投资者都会担心这个问题。' 当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务利用情况,因为债务过载会导致毁灭。 我们注意到,粤传媒(股票代码:SZSE:002181) 的资产负债表上确实有债务。 但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否会使公司变得更加风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业发展的工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还债权人的债务,那么它就处于他们的控制之下。 最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能什么也拿不到。 然而,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是公司必须以极低的价格发行股份,永久性地稀释股东的权益,仅仅为了维持资产负债表。 不过,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。 在考虑一家公司的债务水平时的第一步是将现金和债务合并考虑。

How Much Debt Does Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Carry?

粤传媒承载多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media had CN¥452.0m of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥544.5m, one year before. However, it also had CN¥203.9m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥248.1m.

您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,但数据显示,粤传媒在2024年9月有人民币45200万的债务,较一年前的人民币54450万有所下降。 然而,它也持有人民币20390万的现金,因此净债务为人民币24810万。

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SZSE:002181 Debt to Equity History November 1st 2024
2024年11月1日SZSE:002181债务与股本的历史数据

A Look At Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media's Liabilities

关注粤传媒的负债情况

According to the last reported balance sheet, Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media had liabilities of CN¥443.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥548.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥203.9m in cash and CN¥148.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥639.0m.

根据最近披露的资产负债表,粤传媒有着在12个月内到期的人民币44350万的负债,以及在12个月后到期的人民币54800万的负债。 抵消这一情况的是,它持有人民币20390万的现金和人民币14860万的应收账款在12个月内到期。 因此,它的负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和约为人民币63900万。

Given Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media has a market capitalization of CN¥4.93b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

考虑到粤传媒的市值为人民币49.3亿,很难相信这些负债会构成多大威胁。 但是,我们认为值得密切关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能随时间而变化。 当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要重点关注的领域。 但您不能孤立地查看债务;因为粤传媒将需要盈利来偿还债务。 因此,如果您渴望了解更多关于其收益的信息,可能值得查看其长期收益趋势的图表。

In the last year Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 4.9%, to CN¥587m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

在过去一年中,粤传媒在EBIt水平上没有盈利,但成功将营业收入增长了4.9%,达到人民币58700万。 这种增长速度对我们来说有点慢,但世界需要各种类型的人。

Caveat Emptor

买方自负。

Over the last twelve months Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥53m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥69m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media that you should be aware of before investing here.

在过去的12个月内,粤传媒录得利息、税项前亏损(EBIT)亏损。 具体来说,EBIt亏损达到人民币5300万。 当我们看到这一情况并回顾其资产负债表上的负债,相对于现金,我们认为该公司有债务是不明智的。 坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远未达标,尽管随着时间的推移可能会有所改善。 另一个值得警惕的原因是,在过去12个月中,它负现金流为负6900万。 因此可以说我们确实认为这支股票存在风险。 资产负债表显然是需要重点关注的领域,当您分析债务时。 但最终,每家公司都存在可能超出资产负债表范围的风险。 例如,我们发现了关于粤传媒的2个警示信号,您在投资之前应该注意这些。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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