Is There Now An Opportunity In SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI)?
Is There Now An Opportunity In SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI)?
SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI), is not the largest company out there, but it led the NYSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. The company's trading levels have reached its high for the past year, following the recent bounce in the share price. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company's outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let's examine SolarWinds's valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there's still a bargain opportunity.
SolarWinds 公司(纽交所: SWI)虽然不是最大的公司,但在过去几周却引领纽交所涨幅最大,股价相对大幅上涨。公司的交易水平已达到过去一年的高点,跟随股价最近反弹。作为一个受到分析师高度关注的中等市值股,你可以假设公司前景的任何变化已经被股价所反映。然而,股票仍可能以相对便宜的价格交易吗?让我们更详细地审查 SolarWinds 的估值和前景,以确定是否存在购入便宜股票的机会。
What Is SolarWinds Worth?
SolarWinds 价值是多少?
According to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. We've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 57.32x is currently well-above the industry average of 38.51x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. In addition to this, it seems like SolarWinds's share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
根据我们的价格倍数模型,通过将公司市盈率与行业平均值进行比较,目前该股票看起来相对昂贵。我们在这种情况下使用市盈率,因为没有足够的可见度来预测其现金流。目前市盈率为57.32倍,远高于行业平均值38.51倍,意味着它相对于同行股交易价格更昂贵。除此之外,SolarWinds 的股价似乎相当稳定,这可能意味着两件事:首先,股价可能需要一段时间才会回落到一个吸引人的购买区间,其次,一旦达到该价值,未来买入的机会可能较少。这是因为相比整体市场,该股的贝塔值较低,波动性较小。
What kind of growth will SolarWinds generate?
SolarWinds 将会生成怎样的增长?

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of SolarWinds, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting top-line growth of 8.4% in the next few years, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn't appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.
投资者在投资组合中寻找增长的机会之前,可能会想考虑一家公司的前景。以优惠的价格买入前景良好的公司一直是一个不错的投资选择,因此让我们也看一下公司的未来预期。虽然在 SolarWinds 的情况下,预计未来几年内其销售额增长将相对乏味,仅为8.4%,这并没有帮助支撑其投资论点。增长似乎不是公司购买决策的主要原因,至少在短期内是这样。
What This Means For You
这对你意味着什么
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in SWI's outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe SWI should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
您是股东吗?市场似乎已经充分地反映了SWI的前景,股票交易价格高于行业价格倍数。然而,这带来另一个问题 - 现在是卖出的正确时机吗?如果您认为SWI应该以低于当前价格的价格交易,那么在其价格下跌至行业市盈率附近时高价卖出并再次买入可能是有利可图的。但在做出这个决定之前,请看看它的基本面是否发生了变化。
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on SWI for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive growth outlook may mean it's worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
您是潜在投资者吗?如果您一直关注SWI一段时间,现在可能不是进入股票的最佳时机。价格已经超过了行业同行,这意味着很可能没有更多的错价上涨空间。然而,积极的增长前景可能意味着值得更深入地研究其他因素,以利用下一轮价格下跌。
So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing SolarWinds at this point in time. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for SolarWinds (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.
因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但在这一时期考虑SolarWinds面临的风险也同样重要。例如,我们已经确定了SolarWinds的3个警示信号(其中有1个不太符合我们的预期),您应该熟悉这些。
If you are no longer interested in SolarWinds, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您对SolarWinds不再感兴趣,您可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们的另外50多只具有高增长潜力的股票列表。
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