Yonyou Network Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600588) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year
Yonyou Network Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600588) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year
The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Yonyou Network Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600588), given that the company fell short of expectations when it released its third-quarter results last week. Statutory earnings fell substantially short of expectations, with revenues of CN¥1.9b missing forecasts by 26%. Losses exploded, with a per-share loss of CN¥0.20 some 900% below prior forecasts. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
分析师在用友网络科技 (SHSE:600588) 上可能有点过于看好了,因为该公司上周发布第三季度业绩时,落后于市场预期。法定收益大幅逊于预期,营业收入为19亿人民币,比预期少了26%。损失激增,每股亏损为0.20元,比先前预测低了近900%。对投资者来说,这是一个重要时刻,他们可以通过报告跟踪公司的表现,查看专家们对明年的预测,以及业务预期是否有任何变化。因此,我们收集了最新的业绩后预测,看看预估显示明年将发生什么。
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd's 22 analysts is for revenues of CN¥12.3b in 2025. This would reflect a substantial 25% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd forecast to report a statutory profit of CN¥0.12 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥12.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.12 in 2025. The consensus seems maybe a little more pessimistic, trimming their revenue forecasts after the latest results even though there was no change to its EPS estimates.
考虑到最新的结果,用友网络科技有22位分析师达成共识,预计2025年营业收入将达到123亿人民币。这将较过去12个月的营收大幅增加25%。预计盈利将改善,用友网络科技预计将报告每股0.12元的法定利润。然而,在最新业绩公布之前,分析师们预期2025年的营业收入为125亿人民币,每股收益(EPS)为0.12元。共识似乎略微悲观,尽管在最新结果后修正了其营收预测,但EPS预估未发生变化。
The consensus has reconfirmed its price target of CN¥11.65, showing that the analysts don't expect weaker revenue expectations next year to have a material impact on Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd's market value. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥16.48 and the most bearish at CN¥8.80 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
共识已经重新确认了人民币11.65元的目标价,显示分析师们不认为明年较弱的营收预期会对用友网络科技的市值产生实质影响。然而,从这些数据中我们还可以得出其他结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师的目标价时也喜欢考虑预估价位的分布情况。对于用友网络科技,分析师对其存在着一些不同看法,最看好的分析师估值为16.48元,最看淡的为8.80元每股。这是一个相当广泛的估值范围,表明分析师对该业务有着各种可能结果的广泛预测。
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 20% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 4.3% per annum over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 20% per year. Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.
现在从更大的角度来看,我们可以通过将这些预测与过去的业绩和行业增长预测进行比较来理解其中的意义。分析师们确实预计用友网络技术有限公司的增长速度将加快,到2025年年底预计增长20%,与过去五年平均增长率4.3%相比排名靠前。行业中其他类似受到分析师关注的公司也预计将以每年20%的速度增长营业收入。用友网络技术有限公司预计增长速度与其行业大致相同,因此我们无法得出相对竞争对手增长情况的任何结论。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。
The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Sadly, they also downgraded their revenue forecasts, but the business is still expected to grow at roughly the same rate as the industry itself. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
最明显的结论是,最近业务前景没有发生重大变化,分析师们保持了他们的盈利预测稳定,与先前的估计一致。不幸的是,他们还下调了营业收入预测,但业务仍有望以与行业本身大致相同的速度增长。尽管如此,每股收益对于业务的内在价值更加重要。共识价格目标没有发生实质性变化,这表明业务的内在价值在最新估计中并未发生重大变化。
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
继续这一思路,我们认为业务的长期前景比明年的收益更为重要。在Simply Wall St,我们对用友网络技术有限公司直至2026年的分析师预测涵盖全面,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
You can also see whether Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.
您也可以免费在我们的平台上查看用友网络技术有限公司是否负债过多,以及其资产负债表是否健康。
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