There May Be Some Bright Spots In Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's (SHSE:603156) Earnings
There May Be Some Bright Spots In Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's (SHSE:603156) Earnings
Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603156) shareholders over the last week. We did some digging, and we believe the earnings are stronger than they seem.
软收益似乎与河北阳源智汇饮料有限公司无关。”s(上海证券交易所股票代码:603156)上周的股东。我们进行了一些挖掘,我们认为收益比看起来要强劲。
Examining Cashflow Against Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's Earnings
根据河北阳源智汇饮料的收益研究现金流
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。
Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage has an accrual ratio of -0.19 for the year to September 2024. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥2.3b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥1.41b. Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
截至2024年9月的一年中,河北阳源智汇饮料的应计比率为-0.19。这意味着它的现金转化率非常好,而且其去年的收益实际上大大低估了其自由现金流。换句话说,它在此期间产生的自由现金流为23元人民币,使其报告的14.1元利润相形见绌。毫无疑问,河北阳源智汇饮料股东对过去十二个月自由现金流的改善感到高兴。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对河北阳源智汇饮料的资产负债表分析。
Our Take On Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's Profit Performance
我们对河北阳源智汇饮料盈利表现的看法
Happily for shareholders, Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
令股东高兴的是,河北阳源智汇饮料产生了充足的自由现金流来支持其法定利润数字。正因为如此,我们认为河北阳源智汇饮料的潜在盈利潜力与法定利润看上去一样好,甚至可能更好!但不幸的是,其每股收益实际上在去年有所回落。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,那么考虑它所面临的任何风险至关重要。每家公司都有风险,我们发现了河北阳源智汇饮料的两个警告标志(其中一个有点不愉快!)你应该知道。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
这份报告只研究了揭示河北阳源智汇饮料利润性质的单一因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份拥有大量内幕持股的股票清单很有用。
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