Earnings Miss: Zhuzhou Kibing Group Co.,Ltd Missed EPS And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Earnings Miss: Zhuzhou Kibing Group Co.,Ltd Missed EPS And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Investors in Zhuzhou Kibing Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:601636) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.1% to close at CN¥6.71 following the release of its quarterly results. Revenues missed expectations, with revenue of CN¥3.7b falling 17% short of forecasts. Earnings correspondingly dipped, with Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd reporting a statutory loss of CN¥0.04 per share, where the analysts were expecting a profit. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd after the latest results.
旗滨集团股份有限公司(SHSE:601636)的投资者过得不错,因为其股价上涨了2.1%,收于6.71人民币,这是在季度业绩公布后。营业收入低于预期,营收为37亿人民币,较预期下降了17%。盈利也相应下降,旗滨集团股份有限公司报告每股亏损0.04人民币,而分析师原本预期有盈利。盈利是投资者重要的时刻,因为他们可以跟踪公司的表现,看看分析师对明年的预测,以及对该公司的看法是否有变化。读者将乐于知道,我们已经汇总了最新的法定预测,以查看分析师在最新业绩后是否改变了对旗滨集团股份有限公司的看法。

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd's eleven analysts is for revenues of CN¥20.7b in 2025. This reflects a substantial 29% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 57% to CN¥0.71. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥20.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.70 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
考虑到最新的结果,旗滨集团股份有限公司的十一名分析师的共识预测认为,2025年营业收入将达到207亿人民币。这反映了较过去12个月营收大幅增长29%。每股法定盈利预计将飙升57%至0.71人民币。在此报告之前,分析师一直在预测2025年的营收为207亿元,每股收益(EPS)为0.70元。共识分析师似乎没有在这些结果中看到任何可能改变他们对该业务的看法的内容,因为他们的估计没有发生重大变化。
With no major changes to earnings forecasts, the consensus price target fell 5.3% to CN¥6.87, suggesting that the analysts might have previously been hoping for an earnings upgrade. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd at CN¥11.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥4.10. So we wouldn't be assigning too much credibility to analyst price targets in this case, because there are clearly some widely different views on what kind of performance this business can generate. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.
由于盈利预测未发生重大变化,共识价格目标下调5.3%至6.87人民币,这表明分析师可能之前一直希望有盈利升级。然而,还有另一种看待价格目标的方式,那就是查看分析师提出的价格目标范围,因为广泛的估计范围可能暗示对该业务可能结果有不同看法。目前,最看好的分析师认为旗滨集团股份有限公司每股价值11.00人民币,而最看淡的价格为4.10人民币。因此,在这种情况下,我们不会过分依赖分析师的价格目标,因为对于这家企业能够产生什么样的表现,显然存在一些观点上的分歧。因此,我们不会完全依赖共识价格目标,因为这只是一个平均值,分析师对该业务显然有一些差异很大的看法。
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 22% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 12% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 14% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd to grow faster than the wider industry.
另一种观点是,我们可以将这些预测放在更大的背景下来看,比如预测与过去表现的对比,以及预测相对于行业其他公司是更偏向看好还是看淡。 从最新的预测中可以明显看出,旗滨集团的增长率有望显著加速,预计到2025年年化收入增长率为22%,明显快于过去五年12%的历史增长率。 相比之下,我们的数据显示,其他(被分析师覆盖的)同行业公司预计年增收入率为14%。 显而易见的是,尽管增长前景比最近时期更亮眼,但分析师也预计旗滨集团的增速将超过更广泛的行业。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.
最重要的是,市场情绪没有发生重大变化,分析师重申业绩与之前每股收益预期一致。 幸运的是,他们还重申了营收数据,表明其与预期一致。此外,我们的数据显示营收预计增速将超过更广泛的行业。 此外,分析师还下调了目标价,表明最新资讯导致市场对公司内在价值更为悲观。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
话虽如此,公司收益的长期轨迹比明年更为重要。 我们对旗滨集团的预测一直延伸到2026年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.
不过,您应该始终考虑风险。 举一个例子,我们发现了旗滨集团存在3个警示信号,您应该注意,其中有2个信号令人担忧。
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