Qianhe Condiment and Food Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Qianhe Condiment and Food Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
As you might know, Qianhe Condiment and Food Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603027) last week released its latest third-quarter, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. It looks like quite a negative result overall, with both revenues and earnings falling well short of analyst predictions. Revenues of CN¥699m missed by 14%, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.098 fell short of forecasts by 24%. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Qianhe Condiment and Food after the latest results.
正如您所知,千禾味业(股票代码:SHSE:603027)上周发布了最新的第三季度财报,对股东来说结果并不理想。整体来看,营业收入和收益均远远低于分析师的预测。营业收入达到69900万人民币,低于预期14%,每股收益为0.098人民币,低于预期24%。在公布财报后,分析师们更新了他们的盈利模型,值得注意的是,他们是否认为公司前景发生了重大变化,还是继续业务如常。读者将会很高兴地知道我们已经整合了最新的法定预测,以查看分析师在最新财报后是否改变了对千禾味业的看法。
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Qianhe Condiment and Food's nine analysts is for revenues of CN¥3.67b in 2025. This reflects a decent 16% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to soar 23% to CN¥0.59. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥3.78b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.62 in 2025. The analysts are less bullish than they were before these results, given the reduced revenue forecasts and the small dip in earnings per share expectations.
考虑到最新的财报,千禾味业九位分析师的共识预测是2025年营业收入将达到36.7亿人民币。相较于过去12个月,这反映了营收的良好增长16%。预计法定每股收益将飙升23%至0.59人民币。然而,在最新财报之前,分析师们预计2025年营业收入为37.8亿人民币,每股收益为0.62人民币。由于降低的营收预期和每股收益预期的小幅下滑,分析师们比以前更谨慎看待情况。
The consensus price target fell 8.5% to CN¥13.42, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading valuation estimates. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Qianhe Condiment and Food at CN¥16.35 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥9.10. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Qianhe Condiment and Food shareholders.
共识价格目标下调8.5%至13.42人民币,较弱的盈利前景显然导致估值预测的下降。然而,这并不是我们能从数据中得出的唯一结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师的价格目标时也喜欢考虑估值范围。目前,最看好的分析师认为千禾味业每股16.35人民币,而最看淡的价格为每股9.10人民币。分析师们对该业务有着不同的看法,但在我们看来,预测范围并不足以暗示极端结果可能会等待千禾味业的股东。
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that Qianhe Condiment and Food's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 13% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 20% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this to the 161 other companies in this industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenue at 11% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while Qianhe Condiment and Food's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's expected to grow roughly in line with the industry.
通过比较预测数据与过去业绩以及同行业其他公司的表现,可以更好地理解这些预测。我们需要强调千禾味业预计营收增长速度将放缓,预计到2025年底的年增长率为13%,远低于过去五年的年均20%增长率。将其与该行业中另外161家有分析师覆盖的公司进行比较,预计这些公司的营收将每年增长11%。因此,很明显,尽管千禾味业的营收增长预计将放缓,但预计将与整个行业趋势基本一致。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Sadly, they also downgraded their revenue forecasts, but the business is still expected to grow at roughly the same rate as the industry itself. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Qianhe Condiment and Food's future valuation.
最重要的一点是分析师们降低了他们的每股收益预估,显示出在这些结果后市场情绪明显下滑。可悲的是,他们还下调了营收预测,但预计业务仍将以大致与整个行业相同的速度增长。共识价格目标大幅下降,分析师们似乎并不信服最新的结果,导致对千禾味业未来估值的更低预估。
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Qianhe Condiment and Food going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
记住,我们仍认为业务的长期轨迹对投资者来说更为重要。在Simply Wall St,我们对千禾味业截至2026年的全面分析师预测范围,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Qianhe Condiment and Food .
此外,您还应该了解我们发现的千禾味业的1个警示信号。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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