Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine (SZSE:000869) Shareholders
Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine (SZSE:000869) Shareholders
The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited (SZSE:000869) recently. We did some further digging and think they have a few more reasons to be concerned beyond the statutory profit.
烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:000869)最近的疲软收益并没有给市场留下深刻的印象。我们进行了进一步的挖掘,认为除了法定利润外,他们还有其他一些值得关注的理由。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
不寻常物品对利润的影响
Importantly, our data indicates that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's profit received a boost of CN¥91m in unusual items, over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
重要的是,我们的数据表明,烟台张裕先锋葡萄酒的利润在不寻常的项目上比去年增加了9100万元人民币。我们不能否认更高的利润通常会让我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。当我们计算数千家上市公司的数字时,我们发现,特定年份中不寻常的项目所带来的提振通常不会在第二年重演。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。如果烟台张裕先锋酒业没有看到这种贡献重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其本年度的利润将下降。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以点击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。
Our Take On Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's Profit Performance
我们对烟台张裕先锋酒业盈利表现的看法
Arguably, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's statutory earnings have been distorted by unusual items boosting profit. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
可以说,烟台张裕先锋酒业的法定收益被提高利润的不寻常项目所扭曲。因此,在我们看来,烟台张裕先锋酒业的真正潜在盈利能力实际上可能低于其法定利润。另一个坏消息是,其每股收益在去年有所下降。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。在投资风险方面,我们已经确定了烟台张裕先锋酒业的两个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
这份报告只研究了揭示烟台张裕先锋酒业利润性质的单一因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份拥有大量内幕持股的股票清单很有用。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。