Tianjin Printronics Circuit's (SZSE:002134) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit
Tianjin Printronics Circuit's (SZSE:002134) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit
The market shrugged off Tianjin Printronics Circuit Corporation's (SZSE:002134) solid earnings report. We did some digging and believe investors may be worried about some underlying factors in the report.
市场对天津普林电子电路公司(SZSE:002134)稳健的收益报告不屑一顾。我们进行了一些挖掘,认为投资者可能会担心报告中的一些潜在因素。
Zooming In On Tianjin Printronics Circuit's Earnings
放大天津普印电路的收益
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但是如果应计比率为正,则被认为是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计比率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。
Tianjin Printronics Circuit has an accrual ratio of 0.50 for the year to September 2024. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥34.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥338m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥338m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
截至2024年9月的一年中,天津普印电子电路的应计比率为0.50。通常,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个坏兆头。事实上,在此期间,该公司没有产生任何自由现金流。尽管该公司报告的利润为3440万元人民币,但看一下自由现金流就会发现,去年它实际上消耗了33800万元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年33800万元的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。话虽如此,故事还有更多。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Tianjin Printronics Circuit.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对天津普印电子电路的资产负债表分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
不寻常物品对利润的影响
Unfortunately (in the short term) Tianjin Printronics Circuit saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥11m. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Tianjin Printronics Circuit to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.
不幸的是(在短期内),天津普印电子电路的利润因价值1100万元人民币的不寻常物品而减少。如果这是一笔非现金费用,则可以更轻松地实现高现金转换,因此令人惊讶的是,应计比率讲述了一个不同的故事。尽管由于不寻常项目而产生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一线希望。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。鉴于这些单列项目被认为不寻常,这并不奇怪。假设这些不寻常的支出不会再次出现,因此,我们预计天津普印电路在其他条件相同的情况下,明年将实现更高的利润。
Our Take On Tianjin Printronics Circuit's Profit Performance
我们对天津普印电子电路盈利表现的看法
Tianjin Printronics Circuit saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Tianjin Printronics Circuit's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. While conducting our analysis, we found that Tianjin Printronics Circuit has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these bad boys.
天津普印电路看到不寻常的项目压制了其利润,这本来可以更容易地显示高现金转化率,而根据其应计比率,天津普印电路却没有这样做。基于这些因素,我们认为天津普印电路的法定利润使其看起来比现在疲软得多的可能性很小。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。在进行分析时,我们发现天津普印电路有两个警告信号,忽视这些坏孩子是不明智的。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
在本文中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,以此作为企业的指南。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份拥有大量内幕持股的股票清单很有用。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。