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Concerns Surrounding Weihai Guangwei Composites' (SZSE:300699) Performance

Concerns Surrounding Weihai Guangwei Composites' (SZSE:300699) Performance

关于光威复材(SZSE:300699)业绩表现的担忧
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/03 19:26

Weihai Guangwei Composites Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300699) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

光威复材有限公司(SZSE:300699)最近强劲的盈利并未对股票造成太大影响。我们相信,股东们注意到了超出法定利润数字的一些令人担忧的因素。

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SZSE:300699 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024
SZSE:300699 收益与营业收入历史 2024年11月4日

Examining Cashflow Against Weihai Guangwei Composites' Earnings

分析现金流与光威复材的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

一个用于衡量公司将利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)效果的关键财务比率是应计比率。通俗来说,这个比率是将自由现金流从净利润中减去,然后用这个数字除以公司在此期间的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流中的应计比率视为“非自由现金流获利比例”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负的应计比率是一个好事,因为它表明公司带来的自由现金流超过其利润所示的水平。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们认为当一家公司的应计比率相对较高时值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇论文,“应计较高的公司未来往往盈利能力较低”。

Weihai Guangwei Composites has an accrual ratio of 0.25 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥866.9m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥445m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥445m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2024年9月,光威复材的应计比率为0.25。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流远低于法定利润,这并不是好事。尽管它报告了净利润为CN¥86690万,但自由现金流显示它实际上在去年燃烧了CN¥44500万。在经历了去年的负自由现金流后,我们想一些股东可能会想知道,今年CN¥44500万的现金消耗是否表示高风险。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能让你想知道分析师对于未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,你可以点击这里查看一个基于他们的估算的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On Weihai Guangwei Composites' Profit Performance

我们对光威复材盈利表现的看法

Weihai Guangwei Composites' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Weihai Guangwei Composites' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 18% over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, Weihai Guangwei Composites has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

光威复材过去十二个月的应计比例显示现金转化率不理想,这对我们对其盈利的看法是一个负面因素。因此,我们认为光威复材的真实盈利能力可能实际上低于其法定利润。尽管如此,值得注意的是,其每股收益在过去三年中增长了18%。本文的目标是评估我们在多大程度上可以依赖法定利润来反映公司的潜力,但还有许多其他因素需要考虑。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意相关的风险。例如,光威复材有两个警告信号(还有一个稍微让人不快的),我们认为你应该了解。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Weihai Guangwei Composites' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

这篇文章仅关注了一个因素,这个因素揭示了光威复材利润的性质。但如果你能够专注于细节,总会有更多信息可供发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是良好业务经济的标志,而其他人则喜欢“关注资金流向”,寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。虽然这可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这个自由收集的公司列表具有高股本回报率,或者这个内部持股显著的股票列表对你有帮助。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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