We Think That There Are More Issues For Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry (SZSE:301141) Than Just Sluggish Earnings
We Think That There Are More Issues For Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry (SZSE:301141) Than Just Sluggish Earnings
After announcing weak earnings, Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301141) stock was strong. Despite the strength in the stock, we feel that investors should be cautious about some numbers in the earnings.
在宣布业绩疲弱后,浙江众可磁业股份有限公司(SZSE:301141)的股票表现强劲。尽管股价强劲,但我们认为投资者应该对业绩中的一些数据保持谨慎。
Examining Cashflow Against Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry's Earnings
检查正磁业现金流与业绩
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如金融迷所知,现金流量的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与盈利状况匹配程度的重要指标。要获得应计比率,我们首先要将某个时期的FCF从盈利中减去,然后将该数字除以该时期的平均经营资产。这个比率告诉我们公司多少盈利没有由自由现金流备支。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司带来的自由现金流比利润预示的要多。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们认为值得注意的是,当公司应计比率相对较高时。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇论文:“应计较高的公司未来可能不那么有盈利能力”。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry recorded an accrual ratio of 0.32. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥141m despite its profit of CN¥20.7m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry generated positive FCF of CN¥86m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
2024年9月止的十二个月中,浙江众可磁业的计提比率为0.32。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流远远低于其法定利润,这引发了对该利润数据的实际用处的质疑。在过去的十二个月中,尽管其利润为人民币2070万元(如上所述),实际上出现了负的自由现金流,流出金额为人民币14100万元。值得注意的是,浙江众可磁业一年前创造了人民币8600万元的正自由现金流,所以至少他们过去做到了。然而,还有更多需要考虑的因素。我们可以看到,特殊项目影响了其法定利润,因此也影响了计提比率。浙江众可磁业股东的一大利好是其计提比率去年显著改善,这让人有理由相信未来可能会有更强的现金转化。股东应该在当前年度寻找现金流改善相对于利润的迹象,如果确实如此。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击这里查看我们对浙江中科磁业的资产负债表分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。
The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥12m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
这家公司去年出现不寻常项目增加了1,200万人民币的利润,这或许在一定程度上解释了为什么其计提率如此疲弱。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增加,但当不寻常项目做出巨大贡献时,我们往往会有些谨慎。在对成千上万家上市公司进行数据分析时,我们发现在某一年得到不寻常项目的提振往往不会在下一年重复。这一点并不令人意外,考虑到其名称。相对于2024年9月的利润,浙江中科磁业在不寻常项目上做出了相当大的贡献。其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会导致会计利润无法有效反映潜在盈利能力。
Our Take On Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry's Profit Performance
我们对浙江中科磁业的盈利表现看法
Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Be aware that Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those can't be ignored...
浙江中科磁业的计提率较弱,但其利润确实受到不寻常项目的提振。出于上述原因,我们认为草率地查看浙江中科磁业的会计利润可能会使其看起来比实际情况好。鉴于此,如果您希望对该公司进行更多分析,了解涉及的风险非常重要。请注意,我们在投资分析中发现浙江中科磁业有4个警告信号,其中有2个不能被忽视...
Our examination of Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
我们对浙江中科磁业的审查侧重于某些因素,这些因素可能使其收益看起来比实际情况更好。基于这一点,我们有些持怀疑态度。但如果您能集中注意力于细节,总会有更多发现。例如,许多人认为高净资产收益率是良好业务经济状况的指标,而其他人则喜欢‘跟随资金’并寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。尽管这可能需要您做一些调查研究,但您可能会发现以下内容有用:这些公司的免费高净资产收益率收藏,或者拥有大量内部持股的股票清单。
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