You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x Yibin Tianyuan Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002386) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Chemicals companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.3x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Yibin Tianyuan Group Has Been Performing
For instance, Yibin Tianyuan Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Yibin Tianyuan Group will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Yibin Tianyuan Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Yibin Tianyuan Group?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Yibin Tianyuan Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 42% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 31% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we understand why Yibin Tianyuan Group's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Yibin Tianyuan Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Yibin Tianyuan Group you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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