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Kingland TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:000711) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

Kingland TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:000711) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

金陵科技有限公司(SZSE:000711)的稳固收益可能建立在薄弱的基础上
Simply Wall St ·  11/05 06:16

Kingland Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000711) just released a solid earnings report, and the stock displayed some strength. While the profit numbers were good, our analysis has found some concerning factors that shareholders should be aware of.

京蓝科技股份有限公司(深交所:000711)刚刚发布了良好的盈利报告,股票表现出一定的强势。虽然利润数据不错,但我们的分析发现了一些股东应该关注的令人担忧的因素。

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SZSE:000711 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024
深交所:000711 盈利和营业收入历史 2024年11月4日

A Closer Look At Kingland TechnologyLtd's Earnings

深入分析京蓝科技有限公司的盈利情况

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高金融领域,用来衡量一家公司如何将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的主要比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定期间的自由现金流中减去利润,并将结果除以该公司在该期间内的平均营运资产。该比率显示了一家公司的利润超过其自由现金流的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负的应计负债比率对公司而言是正面的,正的应计负债比率则是负面的。这并不是要暗示我们应该担心正的应计负债比率,但值得注意的是应计负债比率相当高。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文:“应计负债较高的公司未来不太可能有高利润”。

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Kingland TechnologyLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 3.11. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥437m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥1.75b. We saw that FCF was CN¥36m a year ago though, so Kingland TechnologyLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not the end of the story. We can look at how unusual items in the profit and loss statement impacted its accrual ratio, as well as explore how dilution is impacting shareholders negatively. One positive for Kingland TechnologyLtd shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

在截至2024年9月的十二个月中,京蓝科技有限公司记录的应计比率为3.11。从统计学角度来看,这对未来盈利是一个真正的负面因素。换句话说,公司在这段时间内没有产生任何自由现金流。过去一年它的自由现金流实际上为负,达到了43700万人民币,而前述的利润为17.5亿人民币。不过,我们看到一年前的自由现金流为3600万,因此京蓝科技有限公司至少在过去能够产生正的自由现金流。然而,这并不是故事的结局。我们可以看看损益表中不寻常项目如何影响其应计比率,同时探讨稀释如何对股东产生负面影响。对京蓝科技有限公司的股东来说,一个积极的因素是,它的应计比率在去年明显更好,这让人相信未来可能会恢复更强的现金转换。因此,一些股东可能会在当前年度寻求更强的现金转换。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Kingland TechnologyLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者查看资产负债表的强度。点击这里查看我们对*st京蓝资产负债表的分析。

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. Kingland TechnologyLtd expanded the number of shares on issue by 179% over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Kingland TechnologyLtd's EPS by clicking here.

为了了解每股回报的潜力,有必要考虑一家企业稀释股东的程度。*st京蓝在过去一年中扩大了发行的股份数量,增长了179%。因此,净利润现在被分配给了更多的股份。每股指标如每股收益(EPS)帮助我们了解实际股东从公司的利润中受益多少,而净利润水平则使我们更好地了解公司的绝对规模。您可以点击这里查看*st京蓝的每股收益图表。

A Look At The Impact Of Kingland TechnologyLtd's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

观察*st京蓝稀释对每股收益(EPS)的影响。

Three years ago, Kingland TechnologyLtd lost money. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we don't have a meaningful growth rate because it made a loss a year ago, too. But mathematics aside, it is always good to see when a formerly unprofitable business come good (though we accept profit would have been higher if dilution had not been required). So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.

三年前,*st京蓝亏损。即使仅关注最近的十二个月,我们也没有一个有意义的增长率,因为一年前也亏损了。但抛开数学不谈,总是很高兴看到一个曾经无利可图的企业变得好转(虽然我们接受如果没有稀释,利润会更高)。所以您可以看到,稀释对股东产生了相当显著的影响。

In the long term, if Kingland TechnologyLtd's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

从长远来看,如果*st京蓝的每股收益能够增加,那么股价也应该上涨。然而,如果其利润增加而每股收益保持平稳(甚至下降),那么股东可能不会看到太多好处。对于普通零售股东来说,每股收益是检查您假想的公司利润“份额”的一个很好的指标。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常规项目如何影响利润?

Kingland TechnologyLtd's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥282m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. In the twelve months to September 2024, Kingland TechnologyLtd had a big unusual items expense. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.

*st京蓝的利润受到飞凡项目的影响,这在过去十二个月中导致利润减少了28200万元人民币。如果这是一项非现金费用,那么如果现金流保持强劲,计提比率将会更好,因此与不令人鼓舞的计提比率结合在一起,看到这一点并不令人愉快。虽然由于飞凡项目的扣除在第一时间是令人失望的,但仍然有一线希望。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现显著的飞凡项目通常不会重复。这一点并不让人意外,因为这些项目被视为飞凡。在截至2024年9月的十二个月中,*st京蓝有一项大额飞凡项目费用。在其他因素相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润看起来比其潜在的收益能力更糟。

Our Take On Kingland TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我们对*st京蓝的盈利表现的看法

Summing up, Kingland TechnologyLtd's unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings were temporarily depressed, and its accrual ratio indicates a lack of free cash flow relative to profit. And the dilution means that per-share results are weaker than the bottom line might imply. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Kingland TechnologyLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Kingland TechnologyLtd you should be aware of.

总而言之,*st京蓝的飞凡项目表明其法定收益暂时受到抑制,而其应计比率则表明相较于利润缺乏自由现金流。而稀释意味着每股结果比底线可能暗示的更弱。因此,基于上述原因,我们认为对*st京蓝的法定利润的草率审视可能会使其看起来比实际基本面更好。考虑到这一点,除非我们充分理解风险,否则我们不考虑投资于任何股票。举例而言:我们发现了*st京蓝的两个警告信号,您应该注意。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

在本文章中,我们研究了几个可能影响利润数据实用性的因素,我们对此持谨慎态度。但是,如果您能够将精力集中在细节上,就一定会发现更多。例如,许多人认为高股本回报是良好企业经济的指标,而其他人则喜欢"跟随资金"并寻找内部人员在购买的股票。因此,您可能希望查看这个高股本回报的免费收藏,或此具有高内部所有权的股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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