Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made's (SHSE:605555) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations
Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made's (SHSE:605555) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations
Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:605555) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.
宁波德昌电气机械制造有限公司(SHSE:605555)的健康利润数字对投资者并没有什么意外。我们认为股东已经注意到一些超出法定利润数字的令人担忧的因素。
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20241105/0-4c20a8fd2ba3c9a4b8f928ab18f5bead-0-9893f0771c2bc42ef4aad368f01335f8.png/big)
A Closer Look At Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made's Earnings
详细观察宁波德昌电气机械制造的盈利状况
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
许多投资者没有听说过从现金流计算的应计比率,但这实际上是一个衡量公司利润在特定期间内是否由自由现金流(FCF)支持的有用度量。简单地说,此比率从净利润中减去FCF,再将该数字除以公司在该期间内的平均营运资产。你可以把从现金流计算的应计比率看作是“非自由现金流利润比率”。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,当一家公司的应计比率变为负数时,这实际上是一件好事,但如果应计比率是正数,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率为正数并不是问题,这表明一定程度的非现金利润,但高应计比率被认为是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润无法与现金流相匹配。值得注意的是,一些学术证据表明,高应计比率通常是近期利润的一个不好的迹象。
For the year to September 2024, Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made had an accrual ratio of 0.28. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥61m despite its profit of CN¥360.4m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥61m, this year, indicates high risk.
截至2024年9月,宁波德昌电气机械制造的应计比率为0.28。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远低于其法定利润,这让我们对利润作为指导的实用性产生了怀疑。在过去的十二个月中,尽管利润达到了人民币36040万,但其实际上出现了负的自由现金流,流出了6100万人民币,正如上文所述。从去年的负自由现金流经历之后,我们想象一些股东可能会对6100万人民币的现金燃烧,表示今年是否存在高风险。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
Our Take On Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made's Profit Performance
我们对宁波德昌电机制造的盈利表现提出看法
Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 21% EPS growth in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
在过去的一年里,宁波德昌电机制造未将其利润大部分转化为自由现金流,这可能被一些投资者认为相当不理想。因此,我们认为宁波德昌电机制造的法定利润可能比其潜在盈利能力更好。但至少持有者可以从过去一年21%的每股收益增长中得到些许安慰。最终,要全面了解公司,考虑的因素不仅限于以上内容。记住,在分析股票时,值得注意所涉及的风险。每家公司都存在风险,我们已发现宁波德昌电机制造的2个警示迹象(其中1个与我们不太合适!)你应该知道。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
本提示仅观察了一个揭示宁波德昌电机制造盈利性质的因素,但如果能专注细枝末节,总能发现更多。一些人认为高净资产回报率是优质企业的良好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这些拥有高净资产回报率的公司的免费系列,或者这些持有高股权的股票清单。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。